Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm
Match recap
Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Al-Hazm 3–1 in their Pro League fixture. Trincão, Toney, Toney, and Toney scored for Al-Ahli Jeddah; Al Nakhli replied for Al-Hazm. Al-Ahli Jeddah held 51% possession to 49% for Al-Hazm. Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 5th in the Pro League table while Al-Hazm are 12th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah win
Actual
3–1
Outcome probability
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Hazm face off in the seventh round of the regular season, with Al-Ahli looking to extend their strong form. The home side have shown impressive attacking capabilities, while Al-Hazm have struggled to keep pace in the league standings.
Match factors
Ivan Toney's dominance in front of goal
Toney's prolific scoring and strong home form give Al-Ahli a clear attacking edge
Al-Ahli's superior attacking creativity
Spertsyan and Trincão provide high assist rates, enhancing scoring chances
Al-Ahli's recent scoring streak at home
Team has scored in last 3 home games, averaging 4 goals per home match
Full squad availability boosts Al-Ahli's strength
No confirmed injuries for either team, allowing full-strength lineups
Defensive solidity from Al-Ahli's midfield and defense
Atangana Edoa and Saad Yaslam excel defensively and contribute offensively
The context
Al-Ahli Jeddah currently sit 6th in the league with 15 points from 8 games, boasting a significantly better goal difference than Al-Hazm, who are 10th with 9 points. Historically, Al-Ahli have dominated this fixture, winning 9 of the last 12 encounters. This season, Al-Ahli's attacking creativity and goal-scoring form have been key factors in their success.
Key insights
Ivan Toney
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Toney's prolific scoring and strong home form give Al-Ahli a clear attacking edge.
Pro League 26/2711 goals in 8 games, 8 goals in last 10 home matches
Eduard Spertsyan
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Spertsyan's high assist rate and creative passing boost Al-Ahli's attacking threat.
Pro League 26/273 assists in 8 games, 86% passing accuracy
Trincão
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Trincão provides consistent goal threat and creative support from midfield.
Pro League 26/275 goals and 2 assists in 8 games
Analysis
Al-Ahli's attacking threat is spearheaded by Ivan Toney, who leads the league with 11 goals this season and has been particularly prolific at home, scoring 8 in his last 10 home matches. Midfielders Eduard Spertsyan and Trincão provide excellent support with their assist tallies, creating numerous chances. Defensively, Al-Ahli benefit from solid performances by Valentin Atangana Edoa and Saad Yaslam, who contribute both defensively and offensively. Al-Hazm, meanwhile, have struggled to match this level of performance, with their top scorer Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi netting only twice this season.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th in the league with 15 points from 8 games (W5 D0 L3).
- 2.Al-Hazm are 10th with 9 points from 8 games (W2 D3 L3).
- 3.Al-Ahli have a significantly better goal difference (+12) than Al-Hazm this season.
- 4.Ivan Toney leads the league scoring with 11 goals, including 8 at home in his last 10 matches.
- 5.Eduard Spertsyan tops Al-Ahli's assists with 3 in 8 games, showing strong creative influence.
- 6.Al-Ahli have scored in their last 3 home games, averaging 4 goals per match.
- 7.In 12 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ahli have won 9, Al-Hazm 1, with 2 draws.
Prediction
The prediction strongly favors a home win for Al-Ahli Jeddah with a dominant 4-0 scoreline. The team is expected to take control early, reflected in a predicted 3-0 halftime lead. Al-Ahli's superior attacking and defensive balance should see them comfortably outclass Al-Hazm in this fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Ahli Jeddah
Away — Al-Hazm
The verdict
With a full-strength squad and excellent form at home, Al-Ahli Jeddah look set to secure a comprehensive victory over Al-Hazm. Their attacking firepower and solid defence make them the clear favourites to claim all three points with a 4-0 scoreline.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:11 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Al Nakhli
Assist: Acolatse
Trincão
Assist: Toney
Toney
Penalty
Ahmed Al Shamrani
Toney
Abdullah Al Shanqiti
Sultan Tanker
Yellow Card
Toney
Missed Penalty
Saud Al Rashed
Trincão
Galeno
Saeed Baattia
Penalty cancelled
Diakite
Acolatse
Zakaria Al Hawsawi
Spertsyan
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
Match Statistics
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Zakaria Al HawsawiD
- 3IbañezD
- 6V. Atangana EdoaM
- 7TrincãoM
- 8E. SpertsyanM
- 13GalenoM
- 15Saeed BaattiaD
- 16É. MendyG
- 17I. ToneyF
- 28M. DemiralD
- 47Waheb SalehM
Substitutes
- 1Abdulrahman Al SanbiG
- 5Mohammed BakorD
- 9Feras Al BrikanF
- 11Meshal Al MutairiM
- 21Abdullah RadifF
- 29Mohammed YousefD
- 31Saad YaslamD
- 46Rayane HamidouD
Al-Hazm
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Saud Al RashedD
- 4Sultan TankerD
- 7E. AcolatseM
- 13Abdullah Al ShanqitiD
- 17Bonheur MugishaM
- 23Ibrahim ZaidG
- 24A. BahM
- 27Ahmed Al NakhliD
- 28S. BendebkaM
- 29Aboubacar DiakiteF
- 70Ahmed Al ShamraniM
Substitutes
- 5Mohammed IssaD
- 8M. KonatéM
- 10A. SayoudM
- 11Waleed Al ShanqitiF
- 36J. StaněkG
- 77M. Al HamdaniF
- 82Abdulaziz Al-HarbiD
- 95Jaser AteeqD
- 98A. Al HujailiD
Al-Ahli Jeddah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Toney | F | 90 | 8.5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Trincão | M | 69 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2/5 |
| Meshal Al Mutairi | M | 20 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Waheb Saleh | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3/4 |
| Zakaria Al Hawsawi | D | 89 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| É. Mendy | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Spertsyan | M | 89 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ibañez | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Feras Al Brikan | F | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| V. Atangana Edoa | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Yousef | D | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Galeno | M | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Saeed Baattia | D | 75 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Demiral | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rayane Hamidou | D | 1 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al Sanbi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Radif | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saad Yaslam | D | 1 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Mohammed Bakor | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Hazm
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Acolatse | M | 83 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 6 | 2/5 |
| A. Sayoud | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 1/2 |
| Ahmed Al Nakhli | D | 90 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| A. Bah | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| Sultan Tanker | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Bonheur Mugisha | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Aboubacar Diakite | F | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Al Hamdani | F | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Konaté | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Waleed Al Shanqiti | F | 7 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al Shamrani | M | 45 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Bendebka | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | 2/3 |
| Abdullah Al Shanqiti | D | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saud Al Rashed | D | 63 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Zaid | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Issa | D | 27 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Abdulaziz Al-Harbi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Staněk | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Al Hujaili | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaser Ateeq | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ahli Jeddah to win against Al-Hazm.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Ahli Jeddah 4–0 Al-Hazm.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Ahli Jeddah a 89% chance of winning, Al-Hazm a 5% chance, and a 6% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 89% confidence — a high-confidence call.