Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha
Match recap
Al-Ahli Jeddah beat Abha 4–0 in their Pro League fixture. Toney, Toney, Trincão, and Toney scored for Al-Ahli Jeddah. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.77 for Al-Ahli Jeddah versus 1.27 for Abha. Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 5th in the Pro League table while Abha are 18th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah win
Actual
4–0
Outcome probability
Al-Ahli Jeddah look poised to extend their impressive home form against Abha in this Saudi Pro League clash. With a solid start and a potent attack, the hosts are expected to control the game from the off.
Match factors
Al-Ahli's potent attacking trio
Toney, Trincão, and Spertsyan combine strong scoring and assisting form, creating multiple goal threats
Home scoring dominance
Al-Ahli averages 4 goals per home game, well above league average, indicating strong home advantage
Ivan Toney's recent scoring spree
Toney scored 8 goals in last 5 games, showing excellent form and finishing ability
Defensive solidity from midfield
Valentin Atangana Edoa's tackling and interceptions exceed league averages, helping control midfield
Full squad availability boosts Al-Ahli
No confirmed injuries for Al-Ahli ensures strongest lineup and attacking options available
The context
This fixture sees Al-Ahli Jeddah, sitting 6th in the league with a positive goal difference, face off against struggling Abha, who are 18th with just 2 points. Historically, Al-Ahli have edged Abha in their head-to-head encounters, winning half of their last ten meetings.
Key insights
Ivan Toney
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Toney is in blistering form with 11 goals in 8 games, making him the key threat for Al-Ahli.
Pro League 26/2711 goals in 8 games, 1.375 avg per game
Trincão
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Trincão contributes significantly with 5 goals and 2 assists, providing creativity and goals from midfield.
Pro League 26/275 goals and 2 assists in 8 games
Eduard Spertsyan
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Spertsyan leads the team in assists with 3, adding to his goal contributions and playmaking role.
Pro League 26/273 assists and 1 goal in 8 games
Analysis
Al-Ahli's attacking trio of Ivan Toney, Trincão, and Eduard Spertsyan provide multiple goal threats, with Toney in particular enjoying a rich vein of form, netting 11 goals in 8 games. The home side's average of 4 goals per home game dwarfs Abha's poor defensive record. Meanwhile, midfield stability from players like Valentin Atangana Edoa helps maintain control, limiting Abha's chances.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 5 of their last 10 matches against Abha.
- 2.Al-Ahli are 6th in the league with 15 points from 8 games.
- 3.Abha sit 18th with only 2 points from 7 games.
- 4.Al-Ahli have a goal difference of +10 compared to Abha's -8.
- 5.Ivan Toney has scored 11 goals in 8 games this season.
- 6.Al-Ahli average 4 goals per home game this season.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 2-0 in favour of Al-Ahli.
- 8.Four total cards are expected in the match.
Prediction
Expect Al-Ahli to take a commanding 2-0 lead by halftime and extend that dominance to a 4-0 fulltime scoreline. The match should see moderate discipline with around four cards issued, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Ahli Jeddah
Away — Abha
No standout top scorers flagged for Abha
The verdict
With their attacking firepower and solid form, Al-Ahli Jeddah look set to deliver a comprehensive victory over Abha. Fans can anticipate a comfortable win and a showcase of their offensive strengths.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:49 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Toney
Assist: Spertsyan
Toney
Penalty
Spertsyan
Yellow Card
Zakaria Al Hawsawi
Basil Al Sayyali
Trincão
Toney
Assist: Trincão
Rosier
Toney
Galeno
Spertsyan
Firas Al-Ghamdi
Abdulbasit Al-Hindi
Unknown
Ziyad Al Johani
Yellow Card
Atangana Edoa
Fekir
Yellow Card
Faisal Al Subiani
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Abha | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Zakaria Al HawsawiD
- 3IbañezD
- 6V. Atangana EdoaM
- 7TrincãoM
- 8E. SpertsyanM
- 13GalenoM
- 16É. MendyG
- 17I. ToneyF
- 28M. DemiralD
- 30Ziyad Al JohaniM
- 46Rayane Hamidou
Substitutes
- 1Abdulrahman Al SanbiG
- 5Mohammed BakorD
- 9Feras Al BrikanF
- 11Meshal Al MutairiM
- 21Abdullah RadifF
- 29Mohammed YousefD
- 31Saad YaslamD
- 47Waheb SalehF
- 66Naif MasoudM
Abha
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 3J. GaariD
- 4Basil Al SayyaliM
- 7Firas Al-GhamdiM
- 8Nasser Al Daajani
- 16D. LéonG
- 20K. Al Qahtani
- 22A. DialloD
- 23Mohammed Al DossaryD
- 32L. RosierM
- 37Abdulbasit Al-HindiD
- 44M. BatshuayiF
Substitutes
- 6Faisal Al SubianiM
- 9Kamil BoumedmedF
- 10N. FekirF
- 12K. Al ShamraniD
- 19Abdullah Al FahadD
- 21A. Al Bouq
- 29Majed DawranM
- 39M. Al-ZaidM
- 80Safwan SaudD
Al-Ahli Jeddah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Toney | F | 66 | 9.7 | 3 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Francisco Trincão | M | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Edouard Mendy(C) | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roger Ibañez | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Wenderson Galeno | M | 66 | 7.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Eduard Spertsyan | M | 66 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| Merih Demiral | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ziyad Aljohani | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rayan Hamed | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Valentin Atangana Edoa | M | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Zakaria Hawsawi | D | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdullah Radif | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al Sanbi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Sulaiman Bakor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Abdulrahman | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saleh Abu Al-Shamat | F | 24 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Saad Yaslam Balobaid | D | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Naif Masoud | M | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Firas Al-Buraikan | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshal Al Mutairi | M | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
Abha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammed Al-Dosari | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Nasser Al-Daajani | M | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2/5 |
| Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Michy Batshuayi | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Firas Al-Ghamdi | M | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Donovan Léon | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdou Diallo | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Loreintz Rosier | M | 66 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Keshim Al-Qahtani | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/10 |
| Abdulbaset Hindi | D | 67 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jurien Gaari(C) | D | 90 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdullah Al-Fahad | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Majed Dawran | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Safwan Aljohani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al Bouq | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khaled Al Shamrani | D | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Nabil Fekir | F | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kamil Boumedmed | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Al-Zaid | M | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Faisal Al-Sibyani | M | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ahli Jeddah to win against Abha.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Ahli Jeddah 4–0 Abha.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Ahli Jeddah a 95% chance of winning, Abha a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.