Ajax vs Willem II
Ajax steamroll Willem II with five-goal salvo
A dominant display sees Ajax run riot at home, leaving Willem II in their wake.
Ajax delivered a commanding performance in the Eredivisie, cruising to a 5-1 victory over Willem II. D. Klaassen and J. Brandt set the tone with first-half goals, while V. Tsygankov, O. Gloukh, and K. Dolberg added to the tally after the break. Despite A. Ciranni's effort for Willem II, Ajax's dominance was clear throughout. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the margin of victory was far more emphatic than anticipated.
Outcome probability
Ajax and Willem II face off in the third round of the regular season, with Ajax looking to build on their stronger start. Both teams have had contrasting fortunes so far, setting the stage for an intriguing encounter.
Match factors
Ajax's attacking trio in good form
Arokodare, Brandt, and Klaassen show strong recent scoring form, boosting Ajax's goal threat
Devin Haen's prolific away scoring
Haen has 2 goals in 2 away games, a key threat for Willem II despite team struggles
Ajax missing key defenders
Confirmed outs Bouwman and Blind weaken Ajax defense, possibly increasing conceding risk
Ajax's recent scoring consistency
Ajax scored in last 5 games, showing strong offensive momentum at home
Willem II's creative defenders
Tjoe-A-On and ter Avest provide attacking support from defense, aiding limited midfield creativity
The context
Ajax currently sit 9th in the league with 7 points from 4 games, while Willem II languish near the bottom at 16th with just 2 points from 5 matches. This gap in league position and form highlights the challenge Willem II face against a more settled Ajax side.
Key insights
Toluwalase Arokodare
Ajax
Highest goal average for Ajax with 0.5 goals per game, showing strong recent form and key attacking role.
Eredivisie 26/272 goals in 4 apps
Steven Berghuis
Ajax
Top assister for Ajax with 2 assists in 4 games, providing creative threat from wide positions.
Eredivisie 26/272 assists in 4 apps
Devin Haen
Willem II
Prolific away scorer with 2 goals in 2 away games, main attacking outlet despite team struggles.
Eredivisie 26/273 goals in 5 apps
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
Willem II
Leading assist provider for Willem II with 2 assists, strong defensive contributions with 12 tackles and 10 interceptions.
Eredivisie 26/272 assists in 5 apps
Analysis
Ajax boast a +4 goal difference compared to Willem II's -9, reflecting their more effective attack and sturdier defence. Key players like Toluwalase Arokodare, who averages 0.5 goals per game, and creative force Steven Berghuis, with 2 assists in 4 games, underline Ajax's offensive threat. Willem II's main hope lies with Devin Haen, their top scorer with 3 goals, including 2 away strikes, but the visitors' overall struggles suggest a tough night ahead.
Key facts
- 1.Ajax rank 9th with 7 points from 4 games (W2 D1 L1).
- 2.Willem II are 16th with 2 points from 5 games (W0 D2 L3).
- 3.Ajax have a +4 goal difference; Willem II have -9.
- 4.Ajax average 1.75 points per game; Willem II average 0.40.
- 5.Toluwalase Arokodare has 2 goals in 4 appearances for Ajax.
- 6.Devin Haen is Willem II's top scorer with 3 goals in 5 games.
- 7.Steven Berghuis leads Ajax with 2 assists in 4 games.
- 8.Willem II's Nathan Tjoe-A-On has 2 assists and strong defensive stats.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a home win for Ajax, with a predicted final score of 2-1. The halftime scoreline is expected to be 1-1, indicating a competitive first half before Ajax pull ahead. The match is also likely to see around three cards, reflecting a moderately physical contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Ajax
Away — Willem II
The verdict
In summary, Ajax's superior form, goal difference, and home advantage should see them through to a narrow victory over Willem II. While the visitors will fight hard, the hosts' attacking trio and creative midfielders are expected to make the difference in this encounter.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Klaassen
Assist: Dolberg
van Loon
Brandt
Assist: Rosa
Vilhena
Berghuis
Klaassen
ter Avest
Brandt
Wijndal
Tsygankov
Assist: Gloukh
Slory
Gloukh
Assist: Dolberg
Ciranni
Assist: Uriel van Aalst
Kehrer
Dekker
Dolberg
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -14 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Ajax
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2Lucas RosaD
- 5O. WijndalD
- 6T. KehrerD
- 8J. BrandtM
- 9K. DolbergF
- 10O. GloukhF
- 15Y. BaasD
- 18D. KlaassenM
- 23S. BerghuisF
- 24J. MokioM
- 26M. PaesG
Substitutes
- 1M. ter StegenG
- 3A. GaaeiD
- 4S. AmrabatM
- 11V. TsygankovF
- 12Caio HenriqueD
- 20O. EdvardsenF
- 21Jofre TorrentsD
- 36D. JanseD
- 38Marcos LeonardoF
- 51C. SetfordG
- 68A. OuazaneM
- 99T. ArokodareF
Willem II
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3F. StamD
- 5H. ter AvestD
- 6C. TwigtM
- 7J. SloryM
- 9D. HaenF
- 19Uriel van AalstM
- 22Per van LoonM
- 23M. DekkerD
- 24N. Tjoe-A-OnD
- 26M. DelangheG
- 52T. VilhenaM
Substitutes
- 2A. CiranniD
- 14Jens MathijsenD
- 15A. Et-TaïbiD
- 17O. MartinF
- 18Anass ZarroukM
- 21W. van der SteenG
- 28T. VerheydtF
- 31K. de LeeuwG
- 50E. GürbüzF
- 83M. LemmensD
Ajax
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dolberg | F | 90 | 9.2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| O. Gloukh | F | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 6/8 |
| D. Klaassen | M | 57 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| J. Brandt | M | 67 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2/3 |
| V. Tsygankov | F | 33 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Lucas Rosa | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Y. Baas | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| S. Amrabat | M | 33 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| T. Kehrer | D | 77 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| A. Ouazane | M | 23 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| O. Wijndal | D | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Berghuis | F | 57 | 6.8 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| J. Mokio | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Caio Henrique | D | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Janse | D | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Paes | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gaaei | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Setford | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Leonardo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Edvardsen | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Arokodare | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. ter Stegen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jofre Torrents | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Willem II
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriel van Aalst | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Delanghe | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Haen | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| E. Gürbüz | F | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Ciranni | D | 44 | 6.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| O. Martin | F | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Twigt | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Tjoe-A-On | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| F. Stam | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Vilhena | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Per van Loon | M | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| J. Slory | M | 70 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| M. Dekker | D | 84 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lemmens | D | 44 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Et-Taïbi | D | 29 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. ter Avest | D | 61 | 5.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Anass Zarrouk | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jens Mathijsen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Verheydt | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. de Leeuw | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. van der Steen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Ajax vs Willem II?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Ajax to win against Willem II.
- What score did Fipster predict for Ajax vs Willem II?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Ajax 2–1 Willem II.
- What were the win probabilities for Ajax vs Willem II?
- Fipster's model gave Ajax a 69% chance of winning, Willem II a 15% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 69% confidence — a high-confidence call.