Ajax vs Utrecht
Match recap
Utrecht beat Ajax 2–1 in their Eredivisie fixture. Weghorst scored for Ajax; Vesterlund and van der Hoorn replied for Utrecht. Ajax held 64% possession to 36% for Utrecht. Ajax sit 5th in the Eredivisie table while Utrecht are 6th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Ajax win
Actual
1–2
Analysis
As the Eredivisie season nears its climax, Ajax host Utrecht in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have shown glimpses of quality, but Ajax's home form and attacking prowess give them the edge.
Ajax currently sit 5th with 55 points, just ahead of Utrecht in 7th with 50 points. Historically, Ajax have the upper hand with 10 wins in 19 meetings, and matches between these sides tend to be goal-rich affairs, averaging 3.6 goals per game.
Ajax's front line, spearheaded by Mika Godts who boasts 8 goals in his last 10 games, is in fine fettle. Rayane Bounida's creativity, with 6 assists recently, complements the attack well. Utrecht's defence, while resilient, faces a tough test against Ajax's dynamic forwards. The predicted 2-1 scoreline reflects Ajax's slight superiority and home advantage.
Prediction
Expect Ajax to edge this one 2-1 at home. The halftime score is likely to be 1-1, setting up a tense second half where Ajax's attacking depth should see them through. A total of four cards is anticipated, indicating a competitive but fair contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Ajax's prolific forward line vs Utrecht's defense
Ajax's front three, led by Godts and supported by Bounida's creativity, exploit Utrecht's defensive vulnerabilities.
Home scoring streak supports Ajax's predicted win
Ajax has scored in last 5 home games, averaging 1.88 goals, aligning with predicted 2 goals.
Bounida's recent assist surge boosts Ajax attack
Bounida's 6 assists in last 10 matches indicate strong form and playmaking influence.
Weghorst's aerial threat vs Utrecht's slower defenders
Weghorst's physicality and aerial ability create tactical mismatch against Utrecht's defense.
No key injuries reported for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring tactical plans can be executed as intended.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Ajax's blend of attacking flair and home comfort should be enough to overcome Utrecht. Fans can look forward to an entertaining match with goals and tactical battles, culminating in a narrow home victory.
- Ajax have won 10 of 19 head-to-head matches against Utrecht.
- Head-to-head matches average 3.6 total goals, indicating open play.
- Ajax are 5th in the league with 55 points from 33 games.
- Utrecht are 7th with 50 points from 33 games.
- Ajax have scored in their last 5 home games, averaging 1.88 goals per game.
- Mika Godts has scored 8 goals in his last 10 matches for Ajax.
- Rayane Bounida has provided 6 assists in the last 10 games.
- No key injuries reported for either team, both squads at full strength.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Ajax
Away — Utrecht
No standout top scorers flagged for Utrecht
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Berghuis
Yellow Card
Karlsson
Yellow Card
de Wit
Yellow Card
Dolberg
Gloukh
Karlsson
Eerdhuijzen
Regeer
Berghuis
Haller
Vesterlund
Assist: Zechiël
Mokio
Weghorst
Assist: Bounida
Steur
Yellow Card
Cathline
van der Hoorn
Assist: El Karouani
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | +56 | 84 |
| 4 |  Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | +19 | 58 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | +21 | 56 |
| 6 |  Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +13 | 53 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +7 | 52 |
Match Statistics
Ajax
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2Lucas RosaD
- 3Anton GaaeiD
- 6Youri Pieter RegeerM
- 9Kasper Dolberg RasmussenF
- 10Oscar GloukhM
- 11Mika Marcel GodtsF
- 15Youri BaasD
- 23Steven BerghuisF
- 24Jorthy MokioM
- 26Maarten Vincent PaesG
- 37Josip ŠutaloD
Substitutes
- 4Ko ItakuraD
- 7Maher Mauricio CarrizoF
- 17Oliver Valaker EdvardsenF
- 18Davy KlaassenM
- 19Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah KonaduF
- 25Wout WeghorstF
- 30Aaron BouwmanD
- 32Takehiro TomiyasuD
- 43Rayane BounidaF
- 45Ryan van de PavertD
- 48Sean SteurM
- 52Paul Peters ReversonG
Utrecht
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Vasilis Cornelius BarkasG
- 3Mike Adrianus Wilhelmus van der HoornD
- 10Yoann CathlineM
- 11Karl Jesper KarlssonM
- 16Souffian El KarouaniD
- 20Dani de WitM
- 21Gjivai ZechiëlM
- 23Niklas Brøndsted Vesterlund NielsenD
- 27Alonzo Tim Engwanda-OngenaM
- 44Mike EerdhuijzenD
- 91Sébastien Romain Teddy HallerF
Substitutes
- 2Siebe HoremansD
- 5Emeka AdeileD
- 9David MinF
- 15Adrian BlakeF
- 24Nick ViergeverD
- 33Kevin GadellaaG
- 43Rafik El ArguiouiM
- 51Mees EppinkG
- 53Neal Roëll ViereckD
- 57Per KloosterboerD
Ajax
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 2/5 |
| Josip Šutalo | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorthy Mokio | M | 83 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lucas Rosa | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Anton Gaaei | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Youri Regeer | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Gloukh | M | 58 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Steven Berghuis(C) | F | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Kasper Dolberg | F | 57 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Maarten Paes | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youri Baas | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Don-Angelo Konadu | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maher Carrizo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ko Itakura | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan van de Pavert | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Reverson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Bouwman | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wout Weghorst | F | 33 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Rayane Bounida | F | 17 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Oliver Valaker Edvardsen | F | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Davy Klaassen | M | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Utrecht
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasilis Barkas | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mike Van der Hoorn(C) | D | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Niklas Vesterlund | D | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Souffian El Karouani | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Mike Eerdhuijzen | D | 66 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gjivai Zechiël | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 3/5 |
| Alonzo Engwanda | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Dani De Wit | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 1/1 |
| Sébastien Haller | F | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yoann Cathline | M | 89 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/5 |
| Jesper Karlsson | M | 66 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Per Kloosterboer | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mees Eppink | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emeka Adeile | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neal Viereck | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafik El Arguioui | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Gadellaa | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Siebe Horemans | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Blake | F | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Nick Viergever | D | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| David Min | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |