Ajax vs Utrecht
Match recap
Ajax and Utrecht drew 0–0 in their Eredivisie fixture. Klaassen scored for Ajax; Zechiël replied for Utrecht. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.47 for Ajax versus 0.96 for Utrecht. Ajax sit 5th in the Eredivisie table while Utrecht are 6th.
Analysis
The cup final between Ajax and Utrecht promises a thrilling encounter as both sides vie for silverware. With Ajax hosting, the stage is set for a classic showdown where home advantage could prove decisive.
Ajax and Utrecht have a rich history of competitive matches, with Ajax holding a slight edge in head-to-head wins and goal difference. Both teams are closely matched in the league standings, making this final all the more intriguing.
Ajax's top scorer M. Godts leads the charge with 17 goals this season, showing excellent form at home. Defensively, Ajax benefit from the solidity of Y. Baas and Lucas Rosa, who boast impressive tackling and passing stats. Utrecht's attacking threat comes from G. Zechiël and S. El Karouani, both in good assist form, but Ajax's overall balance and home advantage give them the upper hand.
Prediction
Expect Ajax to take an early lead, going into halftime 1-0 up. Utrecht will fight back, but Ajax's resilience and key contributions from Godts and Baas should see them clinch a 2-1 victory. The match is likely to be competitive with around four cards shown, reflecting the high stakes.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Godts' Dual Threat at Home
Godts excels in scoring and assisting at home, creating multiple threats for Utrecht's defense.
Defensive Solidity via Baas and Rosa
Baas and Rosa's above-average defensive stats provide Ajax a strong defensive base at home.
Utrecht's Key Creators in Form
Zechiël and El Karouani show strong recent assist form, boosting Utrecht's attacking potential.
Klaassen's Injury Uncertainty
Klaassen's questionable status may reduce midfield creativity and goal threat for Ajax.
El Karouani's Set-Piece Influence
El Karouani's set-piece assists pose a threat to Ajax's defense, requiring close marking.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Ajax's blend of attacking flair and defensive strength at home makes them favourites to lift the cup. Utrecht will not go down without a fight, but the home side's quality and form should secure the win.
- Ajax have won 10 of 19 meetings against Utrecht, showing historical dominance.
- Head-to-head matches average 3.6 goals, indicating a moderately high scoring game.
- Ajax are 5th in the league with 56 points; Utrecht are 6th with 53 points, highlighting close competition.
- Ajax have a superior goal difference (+21) compared to Utrecht (+13), reflecting stronger overall performance.
- M. Godts leads Ajax with 17 goals and 13 assists, excelling particularly at home.
- Defenders Y. Baas and Lucas Rosa provide Ajax with strong defensive stats and consistency.
- Utrecht's S. El Karouani is a key playmaker with 12 assists, posing a threat on set-pieces.
- The predicted total of 4 cards suggests a competitive but controlled final.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Ajax
Away — Utrecht
No standout top scorers flagged for Utrecht
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mokio
Stepanov
Eerdhuijzen
Karlsson
Horemans
Dolberg
Berghuis
Regeer
El Arguioui
Yellow Card
Baas
Klaassen
Assist: Tomiyasu
Cathline
Zechiël
Weghorst
Yellow Card
Klaassen
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | +56 | 84 |
| 4 |  Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | +19 | 58 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | +21 | 56 |
| 6 |  Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +13 | 53 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +7 | 52 |
Match Statistics
Ajax
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2Lucas RosaD
- 3A. GaaeiD
- 6Y. RegeerM
- 9K. DolbergF
- 11M. GodtsF
- 15Y. BaasD
- 18D. KlaassenM
- 23S. BerghuisF
- 24J. MokioM
- 26M. PaesG
- 30A. BouwmanD
Substitutes
- 4K. ItakuraD
- 7M. CarrizoF
- 10O. GloukhM
- 19Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah KonaduF
- 25W. WeghorstF
- 32T. TomiyasuD
- 43Rayane BounidaF
- 45R. van de PavertD
- 48Sean SteurM
- 50M. MuzunguD
- 52P. ReversonG
- 58V. van der VeldeG
Utrecht
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1V. BarkasG
- 2S. HoremansM
- 3M. van der HoornD
- 10Y. CathlineM
- 11J. KarlssonM
- 16S. El KarouaniD
- 18A. StepanovF
- 20D. de WitM
- 21G. ZechiëlM
- 23N. VesterlundD
- 44M. EerdhuijzenD
Substitutes
- 5Emeka AdeileD
- 9D. MinF
- 15A. BlakeF
- 24N. ViergeverD
- 25M. BrouwerG
- 33K. GadellaaG
- 43R. El ArguiouiM
- 53N. ViereckD
- 57P. KloosterboerD
- 77Ángel AlarcónF
- 91S. HallerF
Ajax
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youri Baas | D | 95 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Rosa | D | 120 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Davy Klaassen(C) | M | 120 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Aaron Bouwman | D | 120 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Maarten Paes | G | 120 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youri Regeer | M | 85 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mika Godts | F | 120 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0/4 |
| Steven Berghuis | F | 78 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Anton Gaaei | D | 120 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Kasper Dolberg | F | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Jorthy Mokio | M | 54 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Marvyn Muzungu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan van de Pavert | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentijn van der Velde | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Gloukh | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Reverson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Bounida | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Don-Angelo Konadu | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 66 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Maher Carrizo | F | 42 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 5/6 |
| Wout Weghorst | F | 42 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | D | 25 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ko Itakura | D | 35 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Utrecht
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasilis Barkas | G | 120 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gjivai Zechiël | M | 120 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Dani De Wit | M | 120 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mike Van der Hoorn(C) | D | 120 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Souffian El Karouani | D | 120 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1/1 |
| Mike Eerdhuijzen | D | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niklas Vesterlund | D | 120 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Siebe Horemans | M | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jesper Karlsson | M | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Yoann Cathline | M | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Artem Stepanov | F | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Neal Viereck | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Per Kloosterboer | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emeka Adeile | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Min | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Gadellaa | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Brouwer | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Blake | F | 50 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Nick Viergever | D | 59 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafik El Arguioui | M | 47 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Ángel Alarcón | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Sébastien Haller | F | 60 | 5.7 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | — |