ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam
ADO Den Haag stuns Sparta with solid win
A brace of first-half and second-half strikes secure a 3-1 victory at home.
ADO Den Haag took the lead through J. Kilo's early goal and, despite a reply from B. Kuipers just after the break, they pulled away with goals from N. Thomas and D. van Mieghem. The 3-1 scoreline was a clear home victory that defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a Sparta Rotterdam win. The hosts showed resilience and clinical finishing to overturn expectations.
Outcome probability
This upcoming fixture between ADO Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam promises plenty of entertainment, with both sides showing signs of attacking intent and defensive frailties. Fans should brace themselves for a high-scoring affair.
Match factors
Sparta Rotterdam's attacking form is strong
Sparta has scored in 5 consecutive away games, showing consistent offensive threat
ADO Den Haag struggles defensively at home
ADO Den Haag has conceded in 5 consecutive home games, indicating defensive vulnerability
Sparta's defensive stalwart L. Martes could disrupt ADO's attack
Martes averages 3.4 tackles per game and wins 55% duels, key to breaking up opposition plays
J. Kilo's passing and defensive stats exceed league averages
Kilo's 88-89% passing accuracy and 2.8 tackles per game surpass league midfielder averages
ADO Den Haag missing two attackers due to injury
Confirmed absences of D. Bárány and L. Reischl reduce ADO's attacking options
The context
Currently, ADO Den Haag sit 17th in the league with 6 points from 11 games, struggling to find consistency. Meanwhile, Sparta Rotterdam are slightly better off in 15th place with 9 points from 10 matches. Both teams have had their share of challenges this season, making this encounter crucial for momentum.
Key insights
- L
L. Martes
Sparta Rotterdam
Martes' defensive prowess with 3.4 tackles per game and 55% duels won is key to disrupting ADO's attack.
Eredivisie 26/273.4 tackles per game, 55% duels won
- J
J. Kilo
Sparta Rotterdam
Kilo's exceptional passing accuracy (88-89%) and defensive work rate (2.8 tackles per game) surpass league averages, making him a midfield linchpin.
Eredivisie 26/2788-89% passing accuracy, 2.8 tackles per game
- M
M. Zonneveld
Sparta Rotterdam
Zonneveld is a consistent goal scorer and a key attacking threat for Sparta Rotterdam.
Eredivisie 26/27Multiple goals in recent matches, high match ratings (7.9-8.5)
- N
N. Thomas
ADO Den Haag
Thomas has been in fine form with multiple recent goals, including a brace in the last home game.
Eredivisie 26/27Multiple recent goals, match rating 8.2
Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam have been impressive on the road, scoring in five consecutive away games, which highlights their attacking threat. Conversely, ADO Den Haag have conceded in five straight home matches, exposing defensive vulnerabilities. Key players like Sparta's defender L. Martes, who averages 3.4 tackles per game and wins over half his duels, could disrupt ADO's rhythm. Midfielders J. Kilo and M. Young stand out for their passing accuracy and defensive contributions, but ADO will miss two attackers due to injury, which might hamper their offensive output.
Key facts
- 1.ADO Den Haag are 17th with 6 points from 11 games (W1 D3 L7).
- 2.Sparta Rotterdam are 15th with 9 points from 10 games (W2 D3 L5).
- 3.Sparta have scored in 5 consecutive away matches.
- 4.ADO Den Haag have conceded in 5 consecutive home matches.
- 5.L. Martes averages 3.4 tackles per game and wins 55% of duels.
- 6.J. Kilo has a passing accuracy of 88-89% and 2.8 tackles per game.
- 7.ADO Den Haag are missing two attackers due to injury.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Sparta Rotterdam with a thrilling 4-3 scoreline after a balanced 1-1 halftime. This suggests a lively second half with goals flying in from both sides, but ultimately Sparta edging it. Expect a total of four cards, indicating a competitive and possibly heated encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — ADO Den Haag
Away — Sparta Rotterdam
The verdict
In summary, this match is set to be a rollercoaster with plenty of goals and drama. Sparta Rotterdam's attacking consistency and ADO Den Haag's defensive struggles point towards an away victory, but the close scoreline means fans will be on the edge of their seats until the final whistle.
Prediction generated 1 Nov 2026, 17:38 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mulder
Kilo
Assist: Hawkins
Kuipers
Assist: Zonneveld
Waem
Yellow Card
Mito
Thomas
Jiménez
Thomas
van Bergen
Hawkins
de Ruijter
Brouwer
van Mieghem
Assist: Peupion
Babadi
Martins Indi
Hokke
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +25 | 26 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 12 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -29 | 3 |
Match Statistics
ADO Den Haag
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1K. NikiémaG
- 3P. MulderD
- 4M. WaemD
- 7D. van MieghemM
- 10Illaijh de RuijterD
- 11E. RottierM
- 14M. JiménezM
- 15M. HokkeD
- 17J. HawkinsM
- 25J. KiloM
- 27N. ThomasF
Substitutes
- 5J. Jensen-AbbewD
- 8J. ŽambůrekM
- 9J. BalF
- 12Sem EekhoutG
- 16Finn de BruinM
- 18S. SyllaD
- 21C. PeupionF
- 22L. WilhelmD
- 23N. ThiedeG
- 32D. van LoenenM
- 33M. ŠínM
- 77D. BárányF
Sparta Rotterdam
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. BrouwerG
- 2L. MartesD
- 3M. YoungD
- 4B. Martins IndiD
- 5B. KuipersD
- 6Teo QuinteroM
- 7M. van BergenM
- 8Cedric HatenboerM
- 9M. ZonneveldF
- 10S. MitoM
- 11I. BabadiM
Substitutes
- 12B. ReithD
- 15G. VianelloD
- 16A. RoaldsøyM
- 17C. TerhoF
- 18Robin van CruijsenM
- 20F. BednarekG
- 21J. ToornstraM
- 22Joel IdehoF
- 30P. KuiperG
ADO Den Haag
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kilo | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Thomas | F | 66 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hawkins | M | 70 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Peupion | F | 20 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| K. Nikiéma | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bal | F | 24 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Hokke | D | 87 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. van Mieghem | M | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| E. Rottier | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Illaijh de Ruijter | D | 71 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Wilhelm | D | 70 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Waem | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| P. Mulder | D | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Sylla | D | 3 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Jensen-Abbew | D | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Žambůrek | M | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Jiménez | M | 66 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sem Eekhout | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Šín | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Thiede | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bárány | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. van Loenen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finn de Bruin | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sparta Rotterdam
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Babadi | M | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5/6 |
| B. Kuipers | D | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Zonneveld | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Teo Quintero | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Cedric Hatenboer | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Joel Ideho | F | 4 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. van Bergen | M | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| L. Martes | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| S. Mito | M | 56 | 6.1 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Young | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| B. Martins Indi | D | 86 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Brouwer | G | 78 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Toornstra | M | 4 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin van Cruijsen | M | 34 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| F. Bednarek | G | 12 | 4.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Roaldsøy | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Vianello | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Reith | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Terho | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Kuiper | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sparta Rotterdam to win against ADO Den Haag.
- What score did Fipster predict for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- Fipster predicted a final score of ADO Den Haag 3–4 Sparta Rotterdam.
- What were the win probabilities for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- Fipster's model gave ADO Den Haag a 27% chance of winning, Sparta Rotterdam a 46% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 46% confidence — a medium-confidence call.