ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven
ADO Den Haag stuns PSV with last-gasp win
A stoppage-time strike from M. Šín seals a dramatic 2-1 victory for the home side.
PSV Eindhoven took an early lead through S. Mijnans, but ADO Den Haag fought back with J. Kilo equalising after the break. The real drama came in stoppage time when M. Šín netted the winner, completing a memorable upset against PSV. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the home side had other ideas.
Outcome probability
As the regular season unfolds, PSV Eindhoven and ADO Den Haag prepare to face off in what promises to be a thrilling encounter. With PSV sitting comfortably near the top of the table and ADO struggling near the bottom, the stage is set for a clash of contrasting fortunes.
Match factors
PSV's superior scoring form
PSV averages 3.4 goals per game vs ADO Den Haag's 1.13, indicating strong attacking edge
PSV's attacking midfield strength
Guus Til and Sven Mijnans provide midfield goal threat, outmatching ADO's lack of top scorers
ADO Den Haag missing key attackers
ADO has 3 confirmed outs including attacker L. Reischl, weakening their offensive options
PSV's winning momentum
PSV has won 5 of last 7 matches with strong scoring streak, boosting confidence
PSV's creative defenders
Defenders Mauro Júnior and Sergiño Dest contribute assists and maintain high passing accuracy
The context
PSV Eindhoven currently hold second place with 19 points from 8 games, boasting a strong goal difference and a potent attack. In contrast, ADO Den Haag languish in 17th place with just 2 points from 7 games, struggling to find the net and secure wins. This gulf in form sets the tone for the upcoming fixture.
Key insights
Guus Til
PSV Eindhoven
Top scorer with 5 goals in 8 games, key to PSV's attacking threat this season.
Eredivisie 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 0.625 goals/game
Sven Mijnans
PSV Eindhoven
Strong recent form with 4 goals in 7 games, providing crucial goals from midfield.
Eredivisie 26/274 goals in 7 appearances, 0.57 goals/game
Mauro Júnior
PSV Eindhoven
Creative defender with 2 assists and high passing accuracy, supporting PSV's attack.
Eredivisie 26/272 assists in 8 appearances, 0.25 assists/game
Analysis
The prediction heavily favours PSV Eindhoven to take all three points, with a likely scoreline of 3-2. PSV's attacking midfielders, notably Guus Til and Sven Mijnans, have been in fine form, contributing the bulk of their goals this season. Meanwhile, ADO Den Haag's offensive options are weakened by injuries, and their defensive frailties have been exposed repeatedly. Despite this, ADO are expected to find the net twice, suggesting a lively contest rather than a one-sided affair.
Key facts
- 1.PSV Eindhoven rank 2nd with 19 points from 8 games (W6 D1 L1).
- 2.ADO Den Haag sit 17th with 2 points from 7 games (W0 D2 L5).
- 3.PSV have a significantly better goal difference, scoring 26 goals this season.
- 4.Guus Til is PSV's top scorer with 5 goals in 8 appearances.
- 5.Sven Mijnans has scored 4 goals in 7 games, showing strong recent form.
- 6.ADO Den Haag are missing key attackers due to injury, weakening their offense.
- 7.PSV averages 3.4 goals per game compared to ADO's 1.13.
- 8.Prediction favours a close 3-2 win for PSV Eindhoven.
Prediction
Expect a high-scoring game with PSV edging out ADO Den Haag 3-2. The visitors' superior goal-scoring record and creative midfield play should prove decisive, although ADO's resilience means they won't go down without a fight.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — ADO Den Haag
No standout top scorers flagged for ADO Den Haag
Away — PSV Eindhoven
The verdict
In summary, PSV Eindhoven's attacking strength and current form make them favourites to secure a narrow victory. However, ADO Den Haag's determination and home spirit could keep the scoreline close, promising an entertaining match for the neutral observer.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 14:24 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mijnans
Assist: Til
Mijnans
Yellow Card
Til
Sylla
Yellow Card
Mijnans
Red Card
Sylla
Man
Wilhelm
Žambůrek
Kilo
Assist: Eduardo
Santos
Bal
Raterink
Yellow Card
Mauro Júnior
Jensen-Abbew
Mulder
Yellow Card
Šín
Assist: Rottier
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +21 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +22 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +18 | 23 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -29 | 2 |
Match Statistics
ADO Den Haag
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1K. NikiémaG
- 3P. MulderD
- 4M. WaemD
- 5J. Jensen-AbbewD
- 8J. ŽambůrekM
- 9J. BalF
- 11E. RottierM
- 18S. SyllaD
- 22L. WilhelmD
- 25J. KiloM
- 46Y. EduardoF
Substitutes
- 2O. RaterinkD
- 7D. van MieghemF
- 10Illaijh de RuijterD
- 14M. JiménezM
- 16Finn de BruinM
- 17J. HawkinsM
- 21C. PeupionF
- 23N. ThiedeG
- 27N. ThomasF
- 33M. ŠínM
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2L. GeertruidaD
- 4A. ObispoD
- 8S. DestD
- 17Mauro JúniorM
- 18F. KostićD
- 20G. TilM
- 21S. MijnansF
- 24K. SanoM
- 27D. ManM
- 32M. KovářG
- 35A. SantosM
Substitutes
- 1N. OlijG
- 3Yarek GasiorowskiD
- 5I. PerišićF
- 6R. FlamingoD
- 19E. BajraktarevicF
- 23M. HansenF
- 31N. FernandezM
- 37A. BouhamdiF
- 42S. CornecionM
- 51T. SmolenaarsG
ADO Den Haag
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kilo | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| M. Šín | M | 44 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| E. Rottier | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| D. van Mieghem | F | 24 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| M. Waem | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| P. Mulder | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Nikiéma | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Žambůrek | M | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| L. Wilhelm | D | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Eduardo | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Bal | F | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Hawkins | M | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| J. Jensen-Abbew | D | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Sylla | D | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Raterink | D | 44 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Illaijh de Ruijter | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Thomas | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Thiede | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Peupion | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Jiménez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finn de Bruin | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
PSV Eindhoven
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Til | M | 40 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| S. Mijnans | F | 43 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| A. Obispo | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| A. Bouhamdi | F | 32 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Geertruida | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Kostić | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| S. Dest | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| R. Flamingo | D | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mauro Júnior | M | 69 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| A. Santos | M | 58 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Sano | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| M. Hansen | F | 50 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| S. Cornecion | M | 21 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Man | M | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Kovář | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Smolenaars | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernandez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Perišić | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Bajraktarevic | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Olij | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yarek Gasiorowski | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
- Fipster's AI model predicted PSV Eindhoven to win against ADO Den Haag.
- What score did Fipster predict for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
- Fipster predicted a final score of ADO Den Haag 2–3 PSV Eindhoven.
- What were the win probabilities for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
- Fipster's model gave ADO Den Haag a 32% chance of winning, PSV Eindhoven a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.