ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen
Heerenveen edge out Den Haag in five-goal thriller
J. Trenskow's brace and R. Meerveld's strike secure a narrow away win.
Heerenveen claimed a narrow 3-2 victory over ADO Den Haag in an entertaining Eredivisie clash. J. Trenskow was the standout with two goals, supported by R. Meerveld's early second-half strike, while N. Thomas netted twice for the hosts to keep the contest tight. The match saw goals traded in quick succession after the break, but Heerenveen held on for the win. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 3-2 away win proved spot on.
Outcome probability
This upcoming clash between ADO Den Haag and Heerenveen promises a lively encounter, with both sides eager to improve their league standings. While ADO Den Haag struggles near the bottom, Heerenveen aims to consolidate their mid-table position with a positive result.
Match factors
ADO Den Haag's Defensive Weakness Due to Suspension
M. Hokke's red card suspension weakens ADO Den Haag's defense, increasing vulnerability to Heerenveen's attack
Heerenveen's Superior Scoring and Assisting Threat
Heerenveen's top scorers and assisters have better recent form and higher goal involvement rates than ADO Den Haag
Heerenveen's Positive Recent Form and Scoring Streak
Heerenveen has scored in 3 of last 5 matches and maintains a positive form trend, supporting predicted away win
Heerenveen's Creative Midfielders to Exploit ADO Den Haag's Defensive Gaps
Players like Levi Smans and Maxence Rivera provide creativity and assists, likely to unlock ADO Den Haag's defense
The context
Heerenveen currently sit 8th in the league with 12 points from 9 games, showing a much stronger campaign than ADO Den Haag, who are 17th with just 3 points from 8 matches. The goal difference also tells a tale, with Heerenveen boasting +4 compared to ADO Den Haag's -10, highlighting the gulf in defensive solidity and attacking efficiency.
Key insights
Jacob Bennedsen Trenskow
Heerenveen
Top scorer for Heerenveen with 3 goals in 8 games, showing strong recent form with 2 goals in last 5 matches.
Eredivisie 26/273 goals in 8 appearances, 0.375 goals/game
Levi Smans
Heerenveen
Leading assister with 3 assists in 6 games, providing creativity and key passes to unlock defences.
Eredivisie 26/273 assists in 6 appearances, 0.5 assists/game
- M
M. Hokke
ADO Den Haag
Suspended due to a red card, weakening ADO Den Haag's defensive line and increasing vulnerability.
Analysis
Heerenveen's attacking threat is spearheaded by midfielder Jacob Bennedsen Trenskow, who has netted 3 goals this season and is in good recent form. Their creative midfielders, including Levi Smans with 3 assists, are likely to exploit ADO Den Haag's defensive vulnerabilities, especially with the suspension of defender M. Hokke weakening their backline. ADO Den Haag will need to tighten up defensively if they are to keep pace in what looks set to be a high-scoring affair.
Key facts
- 1.Heerenveen are 8th with 12 points from 9 games (W3 D3 L3).
- 2.ADO Den Haag are 17th with 3 points from 8 games (W0 D3 L5).
- 3.Heerenveen have a goal difference of +4; ADO Den Haag have -10.
- 4.Heerenveen average 1.33 points per game; ADO Den Haag average 0.38.
- 5.Jacob Bennedsen Trenskow is Heerenveen's top scorer with 3 goals in 8 games.
- 6.Levi Smans leads Heerenveen with 3 assists in 6 appearances.
- 7.ADO Den Haag's defender M. Hokke is suspended due to a red card.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Heerenveen with a 3-2 scoreline. Despite the low confidence due to limited match history, the statistical edge and recent form favour Heerenveen to edge out ADO Den Haag in this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — ADO Den Haag
No standout top scorers flagged for ADO Den Haag
Away — Heerenveen
The verdict
Expect an entertaining match with plenty of goalmouth action. Heerenveen's superior form and attacking options should see them through, but ADO Den Haag's resilience might just keep the scoreline close. A 3-2 victory for the visitors seems the most likely outcome.
Prediction generated 17 Oct 2026, 16:27 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Trenskow
Assist: Rivera
Bal
Meerveld
Assist: Braude
Sylla
Šín
Thomas
Eduardo
Yellow Card
Trenskow
Assist: Rivera
Hawkins
Thomas
Assist: Rottier
Vente
Meerveld
Jensen-Abbew
Rivera
Trenskow
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +21 | 25 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -29 | 2 |
Match Statistics
ADO Den Haag
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1K. NikiémaG
- 3P. MulderD
- 4M. WaemD
- 5J. Jensen-AbbewD
- 9J. BalF
- 11E. RottierM
- 17J. HawkinsM
- 18S. SyllaD
- 25J. KiloM
- 33M. ŠínM
- 46Y. EduardoF
Substitutes
- 2O. RaterinkD
- 7D. van MieghemF
- 8J. ŽambůrekM
- 10Illaijh de RuijterD
- 14M. JiménezM
- 15M. HokkeD
- 16Finn de BruinM
- 21C. PeupionF
- 22L. WilhelmD
- 23N. ThiedeG
- 27N. ThomasF
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. KlaverboerG
- 3M. WillemsenD
- 4S. KerstenD
- 7M. RiveraM
- 8N. CourtensM
- 9D. VenteF
- 10R. MeerveldM
- 16M. LindayM
- 19V. ZagaritisD
- 20J. TrenskowM
- 45O. BraudeD
Substitutes
- 2M. HilgersD
- 11L. OyenF
- 15M. EgbringD
- 17R. UldriķisF
- 21M. FarjiF
- 23D. BladiD
- 28H. PetrovD
- 29L. MachineF
- 30T. SchreuderG
- 44A. NoppertG
- 49Anass BouzianeM
ADO Den Haag
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Thomas | F | 34 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Rottier | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| D. van Mieghem | F | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| J. Kilo | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| J. Bal | F | 46 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Waem | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| P. Mulder | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Peupion | F | 23 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Hokke | D | 34 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| J. Hawkins | M | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Y. Eduardo | F | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Šín | M | 56 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| J. Jensen-Abbew | D | 81 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Sylla | D | 56 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Nikiéma | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Žambůrek | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Jiménez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Wilhelm | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Thiede | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Illaijh de Ruijter | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finn de Bruin | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Raterink | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Heerenveen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Trenskow | M | 90 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Rivera | M | 86 | 8.6 | — | 2 | 3 | — | 4 | 2/3 |
| R. Meerveld | M | 73 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| O. Braude | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| S. Kersten | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| N. Courtens | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3/5 |
| V. Zagaritis | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| B. Klaverboer | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Willemsen | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Uldriķis | F | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Farji | F | 4 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| L. Oyen | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Linday | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| D. Vente | F | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| H. Petrov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hilgers | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bladi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Machine | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Egbring | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anass Bouziane | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Noppert | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Schreuder | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Heerenveen to win against ADO Den Haag.
- What score did Fipster predict for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
- Fipster predicted a final score of ADO Den Haag 2–3 Heerenveen.
- What were the win probabilities for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
- Fipster's model gave ADO Den Haag a 32% chance of winning, Heerenveen a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.