AC Milan vs Venezia
AC Milan secure comfortable win over Venezia
Gonçalo Ramos and an own goal seal a 2-0 victory for the hosts.
AC Milan claimed a 2-0 victory against Venezia in Serie A, with Gonçalo Ramos opening the scoring in the 69th minute before R. Halhal's own goal in the 89th minute wrapped up the win. The result was a bit more comfortable than Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a narrow 1-0 home win, but the call for a Milan victory was spot on.
Outcome probability
The new Serie A season kicks off with AC Milan facing off against newly promoted Venezia. Both teams are eager to make a strong start, with Milan looking to assert their quality and Venezia aiming to prove they belong at this level.
Key facts
- 1.AC Milan finished 5th last season with 70 points from 38 games.
- 2.AC Milan had a goal difference of +18 last season, significantly better than Venezia.
- 3.Venezia are newly promoted to Serie A this season.
- 4.Venezia have strengthened their squad with the signing of A. Rrahmani.
- 5.AC Milan averaged 1.84 points per game last season compared to Venezia's 0.00 in their previous division.
- 6.The predicted scoreline is 1-0 in favour of AC Milan.
- 7.The first goal is expected in the first half, consistent with the halftime prediction of 1-0.
- 8.The match is expected to feature around three cards in total.
The context
AC Milan finished last season in a respectable fifth place, accumulating 70 points and boasting a solid goal difference of +18. Venezia, on the other hand, are stepping up to Serie A after promotion and have bolstered their squad with the arrival of A. Rrahmani, hoping to adapt quickly to the top flight.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — AC Milan
Away — Venezia
Analysis
Given Milan's established presence in Serie A and their superior points-per-game last season, they enter this fixture as favourites. The Rossoneri's defensive solidity and ability to grind out results suggest a narrow victory is on the cards. Venezia's fresh legs and new signing Rrahmani will add some intrigue, but the gulf in experience and quality is likely to show.
Prediction
Expect AC Milan to edge this one 1-0, with the decisive goal coming in the first half. The match should be competitive but ultimately controlled by Milan, who will manage the game effectively to secure all three points.
The verdict
This season opener promises a classic clash of established Serie A quality against ambitious newcomers. While Venezia will be keen to make an impression, AC Milan's experience and tactical nous should see them through to a narrow home win.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Schingtienne
Yellow Card
Franjić
Kike Pérez
Yellow Card
Haps
Yellow Card
Cissè
Loftus-Cheek
Bašić
Haps
Ramos
Assist: Saelemaekers
Pavlović
Yellow Card
Modrić
Kike Pérez
Yeboah
Gila
Bartesaghi
Halhal (OG)
Match Statistics
AC Milan
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5K. De WinterD
- 8R. Loftus-CheekF
- 9Gonçalo RamosF
- 14L. ModrićM
- 16M. MaignanG
- 21S. ChukwuezeM
- 31S. PavlovićD
- 33D. BartesaghiM
- 34Mario GilaD
- 70A. CissèF
- 80Y. MusahM
Substitutes
- 1P. TerraccianoG
- 2P. EstupiñánD
- 11C. PulišićM
- 12A. RabiotM
- 13S. BocoumD
- 22Diego MoreiraF
- 28C. ComottoM
- 30A. JashariM
- 42F. TerraccianoD
- 46M. GabbiaD
- 56A. SaelemaekersF
- 73F. CamardaF
- 96L. TorrianiG
Venezia
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1F. StankovićG
- 3J. SchingtienneD
- 4B. FranjićD
- 5R. HapsM
- 6G. BusioM
- 10J. YeboahF
- 17A. Bella-KotchapD
- 18A. HainautM
- 26T. BašićM
- 45A. AdamsF
- 71Kike PérezM
Substitutes
- 7A. RrahmaniF
- 8Lamine DaboM
- 11M. FarjiF
- 14Thierry CorreiaD
- 19S. SohmM
- 20R. SagradoD
- 21Þ. HelgasonM
- 23M. GrandiG
- 25R. HalhalD
- 29L. LauberbachF
- 30M. DagassoM
- 55S. PanadaM
- 90A. OkoroF
- 95A. GomesD
- 96L. MontipòG
AC Milan
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Chukwueze | M | 93 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Luka Modrić | M | 74 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Yunus Musah | M | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Davide Bartesaghi | M | 87 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Strahinja Pavlović | D | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Mario Gila | D | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mike Maignan(C) | G | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Gonçalo Ramos | F | 93 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 7 | 3 | — | 0/1 |
| Koni De Winter | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek | F | 59 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Alphadjo Cissè | F | 59 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Christian Comotto | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Torriani | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Camarda | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sankhoun Diawara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pietro Terracciano | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pervis Estupiñán | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Gabbia | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Pulišić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filippo Terracciano | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreira | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | F | 34 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Ardon Jashari | M | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Adrien Rabiot | M | 34 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Venezia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stanković | G | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gianluca Busio(C) | M | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kike Pérez | M | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| John Yeboah | F | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Toma Bašić | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartol Franjić | D | 48 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antoine Hainaut | M | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Ridgeciano Haps | M | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Akor Adams | F | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Armel Bella-Kotchap | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Joel Schingtienne | D | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Þórir Jóhann Helgason | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lamine Fanne | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Richie Sagrado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alvin Obinna Okoro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Dagasso | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marko Farji | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simone Panada | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Grandi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Montipò | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ale Gomes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lion Lauberbach | F | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thierry Correia | D | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Simon Sohm | M | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Albion Rrahmani | F | 13 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Redouane Halhal | D | 45 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win AC Milan vs Venezia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted AC Milan to win against Venezia.
- What score did Fipster predict for AC Milan vs Venezia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of AC Milan 1–0 Venezia.
- What were the win probabilities for AC Milan vs Venezia?
- Fipster's model gave AC Milan a 51% chance of winning, Venezia a 24% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 51% confidence — a medium-confidence call.