AC Milan vs Juventus
Match recap
AC Milan and Juventus drew 0–0 in their Serie A fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.61 for AC Milan versus 0.48 for Juventus. AC Milan sit 5th in the Serie A table while Juventus are 6th.
Analysis
AC Milan host Juventus in what promises to be a tightly contested Serie A fixture. Both teams are in good form and closely matched in the standings, setting the stage for a classic encounter at the San Siro.
AC Milan currently sit 2nd in the league with 66 points, while Juventus are close behind in 4th with 63 points. Historically, their head-to-head record is balanced with 8 draws in 20 meetings, highlighting the competitive nature of this fixture.
Key players like Rafael Leão and Kenan Yıldız are sidelined due to injury, which could limit scoring options. Midfield maestros Luka Modrić and Manuel Locatelli are expected to control the tempo with their passing and tackling prowess. Defensively, Strahinja Pavlović and Bremer provide solidity, likely keeping the scoreline tight.
Prediction
The model predicts a 1-1 draw with a halftime score of 0-0 and a total of 4 cards in the match. Both teams are expected to share the spoils in a game where midfield control and defensive resilience will be crucial.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Key attackers missing for both teams
Rafael Leão and Kenan Yıldız are injured, reducing scoring options for both sides.
Midfield control crucial
Luka Modrić and Manuel Locatelli dominate passing and tackling, likely to influence game tempo.
Defensive solidity from Pavlović and Bremer
Both defenders have strong defensive stats, could limit attacking threats.
Rabiot's recent scoring form
Rabiot scored 3 goals in last 5 games before injury, could be a key threat if fit.
Balanced scoring likelihood
Predicted 1-1 draw aligns with balanced goal contributions and recent form.
Key Takeaways
With both sides evenly matched and key players missing, a draw seems the most likely outcome. Fans can expect a tactical battle with moments of quality from midfield stars and a balanced scoreline reflecting the tight competition.
- AC Milan are 2nd in Serie A with 66 points from 33 games.
- Juventus are 4th with 63 points from 33 games.
- In 20 head-to-head matches, there have been 8 draws between the teams.
- Rafael Leão and Kenan Yıldız are injured, reducing attacking options.
- Luka Modrić leads AC Milan in passing with 2139 passes at 90% accuracy.
- Manuel Locatelli tops Juventus in tackles with 89 this season.
- Strahinja Pavlović has scored 4 goals this season and is strong defensively.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 4, indicating a competitive but controlled game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — AC Milan
Away — Juventus
No standout top scorers flagged for Juventus
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Cambiaso
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Bartesaghi
Yellow Card
Bartesaghi
Pulišić
Fofana
Thuram
Cambiaso
Boga
Yellow Card
Estupiñán
Yellow Card
Boga
Modrić
Rafael Leão
Conceição
Locatelli
Yellow Card
David
Match Statistics
AC Milan
3-5-2Starting XI
- 10Rafael LeãoF
- 11C. PulišićF
- 12A. RabiotM
- 14L. ModrićM
- 16M. MaignanG
- 19Y. FofanaM
- 23F. TomoriD
- 31S. PavlovićD
- 33D. BartesaghiM
- 46M. GabbiaD
- 56A. SaelemaekersM
Substitutes
- 1P. TerraccianoG
- 2P. EstupiñánD
- 4S. RicciM
- 5K. De WinterD
- 7S. GiménezF
- 8R. Loftus-CheekM
- 9N. FüllkrugF
- 18C. NkunkuF
- 24Z. AthekameD
- 27D. OdoguD
- 30A. JashariM
- 37M. PittarellaG
Juventus
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3BremerD
- 5M. LocatelliM
- 6L. KellyD
- 7Francisco ConceiçãoF
- 13J. BogaF
- 15P. KaluluD
- 16M. Di GregorioG
- 19K. ThuramM
- 22W. McKennieM
- 27A. CambiasoM
- 30J. DavidF
Substitutes
- 1M. PerinG
- 2E. HolmD
- 4F. GattiD
- 8T. KoopmeinersM
- 9D. VlahovićF
- 10K. YıldızF
- 11E. ZhegrovaF
- 17Vasilije AdžićM
- 18F. KostićM
- 20L. OpendaF
- 21F. MirettiM
- 23C. PinsoglioG
AC Milan
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Maignan(C) | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Modrić | M | 80 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rafael Leão | F | 80 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Adrien Rabiot | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Strahinja Pavlović | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Fikayo Tomori | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Gabbia | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssouf Fofana | M | 67 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| Christian Pulišić | F | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Davide Bartesaghi | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| David Odogu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zachary Athekame | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Pittarella | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Giménez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Koni De Winter | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pietro Terracciano | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ardon Jashari | M | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuele Ricci | M | 23 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Nkunku | F | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pervis Estupiñán | D | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Niclas Füllkrug | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Juventus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Locatelli(C) | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Khéphren Thuram | M | 71 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Francisco Conceição | F | 80 | 7.3 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5/6 |
| Bremer | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Michele Di Gregorio | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Weston McKennie | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Lloyd Kelly | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pierre Kalulu | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan David | F | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Andrea Cambiaso | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jeremie Boga | F | 80 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Federico Gatti | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïs Openda | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlo Pinsoglio | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vasilije Adžić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Kostic | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattia Perin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabio Miretti | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Teun Koopmeiners | M | 19 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Emil Holm | D | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Edon Zhegrova | F | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Kenan Yıldız | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Dušan Vlahović | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |