Abha vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Match recap
Abha and Al Khaleej Saihat drew 1–1 in their Pro League fixture. King scored for Al Khaleej Saihat. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.97 for Abha versus 0.97 for Al Khaleej Saihat. Abha sit 18th in the Pro League table while Al Khaleej Saihat are 10th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-0 Abha win
Actual
1–1
Outcome probability
Abha and Al Khaleej Saihat face off in what promises to be a closely contested Saudi league match. Both teams have struggled for wins this season, but Abha are tipped to edge this one by a single goal.
Match factors
Al Khaleej's Joshua King poses a strong attacking threat
King's 2 goals in 4 games and good away scoring form give Al Khaleej a key outlet against Abha's vulnerable defense
Abha's defense struggles to contain attackers
Abha concedes 1.33 goals per home game and has a low clean sheet percentage, favoring Al Khaleej's attackers
Al Khaleej's midfield led by Mascarell shows stability
Mascarell's consistent full matches and high passing accuracy support Al Khaleej's control in midfield
Abha relies heavily on Batshuayi for goals
Batshuayi is the main striker and recent scorer for Abha, critical for their slim chance to score
The context
This fixture is part of the Saudi league's regular season, with Abha currently sitting 18th with just 2 points from 7 games, while Al Khaleej Saihat are 13th with 6 points from 8 matches. Historically, Al Khaleej Saihat have the upper hand with 4 wins to Abha's 2 in their 8 meetings, but recent form and league position suggest a tight battle.
Key insights
Joshua King
Al Khaleej Saihat
King's 2 goals in 4 games and strong away scoring form make him a key attacking threat against Abha's defence.
Pro League 26/272 goals in 4 appearances, 0.5 goals/game
Omar Mascarell
Al Khaleej Saihat
Mascarell's consistent full matches and high passing accuracy provide midfield stability for Al Khaleej.
Pro League 26/271 goal in 8 appearances, high passing accuracy
Michy Batshuayi
Abha
Batshuayi is Abha's main striker and recent scorer, crucial for their attacking hopes.
Pro League 26/271 goal in recent matches
Analysis
Al Khaleej Saihat's Joshua King stands out as a key attacking threat, boasting 2 goals in 4 games and a strong away scoring record. However, Abha's main striker Michy Batshuayi remains crucial for their slim hopes, having scored recently despite the team's struggles. Abha's defence has been leaky, conceding over a goal per home game, but their home advantage and tactical setup could just be enough to keep Al Khaleej at bay. Midfield stability from Omar Mascarell for Al Khaleej adds control, but Abha's defensive efforts led by Abdou Diallo will be vital to secure a clean sheet.
Key facts
- 1.Al Khaleej Saihat lead head-to-head with 4 wins to Abha's 2 in 8 matches.
- 2.Abha are 18th in the league with 2 points from 7 games (W0 D2 L5).
- 3.Al Khaleej Saihat are 13th with 6 points from 8 games (W0 D6 L2).
- 4.Abha concede an average of 1.33 goals per home game this season.
- 5.Joshua King has scored 2 goals in 4 games for Al Khaleej Saihat.
- 6.Michy Batshuayi is Abha's main striker and recent goal scorer.
- 7.Home win probability is highest at about 42%, with 1-0 the most likely scoreline.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a narrow 1-0 home win for Abha. While the probabilities are finely balanced and confidence is low due to limited match history and close odds, the most likely outcome is a tight victory for Abha, possibly decided by a single goal from their main striker.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Abha
Away — Al Khaleej Saihat
The verdict
Expect a tense encounter with few clear-cut chances, where defensive discipline and a moment of attacking quality could decide the outcome. Abha's slight edge at home and their need for points might just see them sneak a 1-0 win over Al Khaleej Saihat.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:46 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mustafa Malayekah
Yellow Card
King
Goal
Assist: Mohammed Al Dossary
Firas Al-Ghamdi
Hussain Al Eisa
Rosier
Batshuayi
Yellow Card
Unknown
Pedro Rebocho
Yellow Card
Raed Al Shanqiti
King
Kouyaté
Al Fahad
Safwan Saud
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Abha | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Abha
5-4-1Starting XI
- 3J. GaariD
- 7Firas Al-GhamdiM
- 8Nasser Al Daajani
- 16D. LéonG
- 19Abdullah Al FahadD
- 20K. Al Qahtani
- 22A. DialloD
- 23Mohammed Al DossaryD
- 32L. RosierM
- 44M. BatshuayiF
- 80Safwan SaudD
Substitutes
- 4Basil Al SayyaliM
- 6Faisal Al SubianiM
- 10N. FekirF
- 11A. GoryF
- 12K. Al ShamraniD
- 26Mustafa MalayekahG
- 29Majed DawranM
- 37Abdulbasit Al-HindiD
- 39M. Al-ZaidM
Al Khaleej Saihat
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Mohammed Al KhabraniD
- 4K. KouyatéD
- 5Pedro RebochoD
- 7J. KingF
- 8Omar MascarellM
- 18Nawaf Al SaadiM
- 19Miguel CrespoM
- 28Hussain Al EisaM
- 29Raed Al ShanqitiD
- 49A. MorisG
- 99M. BarrowM
Substitutes
- 2Hamad Al JayzaniD
- 11Saleh Al AmriF
- 12Majed KanabahM
- 13Ahmad AsiriD
- 14Ali Al ShaafiD
- 16Bader MunshiM
- 17Abdullah Al HafithD
- 39Saeed Al HamsalD
- 96Marwan Al HaidariG
Abha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keshim Al-Qahtani | M | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Jurien Gaari | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Donovan Léon | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdou Diallo | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Firas Al-Ghamdi | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Loreintz Rosier | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdullah Al-Fahad(C) | D | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nasser Al-Daajani | M | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Mohammed Al-Dosari | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Michy Batshuayi | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Safwan Aljohani | D | 88 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Majed Dawran | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulbaset Hindi | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khaled Al Shamrani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mustafa Malaika | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nabil Fekir | F | 45 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | — |
| Mohammed Al-Zaid | M | 30 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Faisal Al-Sibyani | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Alimami Gory | F | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
Al Khaleej Saihat
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Moris | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joshua King | F | 73 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Nawaf Al Sadi | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Mohammed Al-Khabrani(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussain Ahmed Al Issa | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Miguel Crespo | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boubakar Kouyaté | D | 73 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omar Mascarell | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Musa Barrow | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Raed Al Shanqiti | D | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Rebocho | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bader Munshi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Shaafi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmad Asiri | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamad Al-Jayzani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marwan Al-Haidari | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saleh Al-Amri | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Abdullah Al-Hafith | D | 17 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saeed Al Hamsal | D | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Majed Omar Kanabah | M | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Abha vs Al Khaleej Saihat?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Abha to win against Al Khaleej Saihat.
- What score did Fipster predict for Abha vs Al Khaleej Saihat?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Abha 1–0 Al Khaleej Saihat.
- What were the win probabilities for Abha vs Al Khaleej Saihat?
- Fipster's model gave Abha a 44% chance of winning, Al Khaleej Saihat a 28% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 44% confidence — a low-confidence call.