Abha vs Al-Hazm
Match recap
Al-Hazm beat Abha 2–1 in their Pro League fixture. Mohammed Al Dossary scored for Abha; Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi and Ahmed Al Shamrani replied for Al-Hazm. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.42 for Abha versus 1.22 for Al-Hazm. Abha sit 18th in the Pro League table while Al-Hazm are 12th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Abha win
Actual
1–2
Outcome probability
Abha and Al-Hazm face off in the Saudi Pro League's opening round, with both sides eager to make an impact. Despite Al-Hazm's superior league standing and goal difference, Abha are tipped to claim a narrow win in what promises to be a competitive encounter.
Match factors
Al-Hazm's midfield scoring threat
Abdul Aziz Al Dhuwayhi leads Al-Hazm with 2 goals and strong defensive stats, providing a dual threat in midfield.
Al-Hazm's creative midfielders drive chances
Sofiane Bendebka and Aboubacar Bah show above-average assist and passing stats, enhancing Al-Hazm's attacking potential.
Abha's defensive leader Mohammed Al Dossary
Al Dossary's defensive solidity and rare goal threat from defense could be key in set-piece situations.
Al-Hazm's recent scoring consistency
Al-Hazm has scored in 4 of last 5 matches, showing positive attacking momentum heading into this fixture.
Full squads available for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, so lineups expected to be at full strength.
The context
Al-Hazm currently sit 10th in the league with 9 points from 8 games, showing more consistency than Abha, who are 18th with just 2 points from 7 matches. Historically, Al-Hazm have the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning five of nine encounters compared to Abha's two victories. The goal difference also favours Al-Hazm by a margin of +6 to -8, highlighting their stronger overall form this season.
Key insights
Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi
Al-Hazm
Leads Al-Hazm with 2 goals and contributes defensively with over 3 tackles per game, making him a dual threat in midfield.
Pro League 26/272 goals in 7 games, 3.14 tackles per game
Sofiane Bendebka
Al-Hazm
Top assister for Al-Hazm with 1 assist, providing creativity and key passes to drive attacking chances.
Pro League 26/271 assist in 7 games, 85.6 avg mins/game
Mohammed Al Dossary
Abha
Strong defensive presence with 10 tackles in recent matches and a rare goal threat from defence, crucial for set-piece situations.
Pro League 26/271 goal this season, strong defensive stats
Analysis
Al-Hazm boast key midfield contributors like Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi, who leads their scoring charts with two goals and combines defensive grit with attacking threat. Sofiane Bendebka adds creativity with assists and goal involvement, making Al-Hazm a balanced side. However, Abha's defensive leader Mohammed Al Dossary offers solidity and a rare goal threat from the back, which could prove decisive. Both teams have full squads available, setting the stage for a tactical battle where Abha's home resilience might just tip the scales.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Hazm lead the head-to-head record with 5 wins to Abha's 2 in 9 meetings.
- 2.Al-Hazm are 10th in the league with 9 points from 8 games; Abha are 18th with 2 points from 7 games.
- 3.Al-Hazm have a goal difference of +6 compared to Abha's -8 this season.
- 4.Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi is Al-Hazm's top scorer with 2 goals this season.
- 5.Mohammed Al Dossary is a key defensive figure for Abha with 1 goal this season.
- 6.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries or suspensions.
Prediction
Despite Al-Hazm's statistical advantages and recent scoring form, the prediction leans towards a 2-1 victory for Abha. The home side's determination to improve their league position and the potential impact of key players like Mohammed Al Dossary in defence could be the difference. This outcome is a cautious call given the close probabilities, but the most likely winning scoreline favours Abha edging out their opponents.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Abha
Away — Al-Hazm
The verdict
This match promises a tight contest with both teams capable of scoring. Abha's predicted narrow win would be a welcome boost for their campaign, while Al-Hazm will look to bounce back quickly. Fans can expect a spirited encounter with moments of quality from standout performers on both sides.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:04 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi
Assist: Ahmed Al Shamrani
Ben Hmida
Yellow Card
Ahmed Al Shamrani
Assist: Bendebka
Bendebka
Yellow Card
Firas Al-Ghamdi
Yellow Card
Firas Al-Ghamdi
Al-Zaid
Bah
Yellow Card
Mohammed Al Dossary
Unknown
Saud Al Rashed
Ahmed Al Shamrani
Rosier
Yellow Card
Safwan Saud
Gory
Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi
Bendebka
Pululu
Match Statistics
Abha
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3J. GaariD
- 7Firas Al-GhamdiM
- 11A. GoryF
- 16D. LéonG
- 17Abdulkarim DarisiF
- 22A. DialloD
- 23Mohammed Al DossaryD
- 29M. Al-ZaidF
- 32L. RosierM
- 80Safwan SaudD
Substitutes
- 4Basil Al SayyaliM
- 6Faisal Al SubianiM
- 9Kamil BoumedmedF
- 10N. FekirF
- 19Abdullah Al FahadD
- 20K. Al Qahtani
- 21A. Al Bouq
- 28Bader Al MutairiM
- 37Abdulbasit Al-HindiD
Al-Hazm
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2Saud Al RashedD
- 3A. Ben HmidaD
- 8M. KonatéD
- 9Afimico PululuF
- 17Bonheur MugishaM
- 22Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al DhuwayhiM
- 23Ibrahim ZaidG
- 24A. BahM
- 28S. BendebkaM
- 34Abdulrahman Al-DakheelD
- 70Ahmed Al ShamraniM
Substitutes
- 1Yazan Abdullah Al-Ruwaili
- 4Sultan TankerD
- 5Mohammed Essa Harbush
- 11Waleed Al Shanqiti
- 12Farhan Al-AazmiD
- 27Ahmed Al NakhliD
- 33Majed Al-Ghamdi
- 77M. Al HamdaniF
- 98A. Al Hujaili
Abha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammed Al-Dosari | D | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Loreintz Rosier | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Abdou Diallo | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Nasser Al-Daajani | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Safwan Aljohani | D | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 4/5 |
| Firas Al-Ghamdi | M | 57 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Abdulkarim Darisi | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alimami Gory | F | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 4/5 |
| Mohammed Al-Zaid | F | 57 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Jurien Gaari(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Donovan Léon | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdullah Al-Fahad | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bader Al Mutairi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faisal Al-Sibyani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al Bouq | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nabil Fekir | F | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Abdulbaset Hindi | D | 12 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kamil Boumedmed | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali | M | 33 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Keshim Al-Qahtani | F | 33 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Hazm
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmed Al-Shamrani | M | 75 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe | M | 82 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Bonheur Mugisha | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Ibrahim Zaied | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amine Ben Hmida | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Sofiane Bendebka | M | 82 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mory Konate | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saud Al Rashed | D | 75 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdurahman Al-Dakheel(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Aboubacar Bah | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 89 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Farhan Al-Azmi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Majed Al Ghamdi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Nakhli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walead Alshangeati | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yazan Abdullah Al-Ruwaili | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Tanker | D | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Yami | D | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Hamdani | F | 15 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayman Al-Hujaili | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Abha vs Al-Hazm?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Abha to win against Al-Hazm.
- What score did Fipster predict for Abha vs Al-Hazm?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Abha 2–1 Al-Hazm.
- What were the win probabilities for Abha vs Al-Hazm?
- Fipster's model gave Abha a 35% chance of winning, Al-Hazm a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.