Abha vs Al-Ettifaq
Match recap
Al-Ettifaq beat Abha 1–0 in their Pro League fixture. Léon scored for Al-Ettifaq. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.51 for Abha versus 1.09 for Al-Ettifaq. Abha sit 18th in the Pro League table while Al-Ettifaq are 7th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-2 Al-Ettifaq win
Actual
0–1
Outcome probability
As the Saudi Pro League season progresses, Abha and Al-Ettifaq face off in what promises to be a competitive encounter. While Abha struggle near the bottom of the table, Al-Ettifaq have shown more consistency and attacking threat, setting the stage for an intriguing match.
Match factors
Al-Ettifaq's attacking midfield strength
Medrán and Duda provide creative edge with high passing accuracy and assist records, likely to unlock Abha's defense
Dembélé's goal-scoring form
Dembélé leads Al-Ettifaq with 3 goals in 8 games, showing strong finishing ability and key striker role
Al-Ettifaq's recent scoring consistency
Team has scored in 3 of last 5 matches away, supporting predicted 2 goals in this fixture
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or absences, so all key players expected to participate and influence match
The context
Abha currently sit 18th in the league with just 2 points from 7 games, having yet to register a win this season. In contrast, Al-Ettifaq hold a more comfortable 7th place with 12 points from 8 matches. Historically, Al-Ettifaq have the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, winning 6 of 11 encounters compared to Abha's 4, with one draw.
Key insights
M. Dembélé
Al-Ettifaq
Leads Al-Ettifaq with 3 goals, showing strong finishing and key striker role this season.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 8 games, 79.9 avg mins/game
Álvaro Medrán
Al-Ettifaq
Top assister with 3 assists and 86% passing accuracy, crucial in creating chances.
Pro League 26/273 assists in 8 games, 86% pass accuracy
Analysis
Al-Ettifaq's attacking midfield duo, Álvaro Medrán and O. Duda, provide a creative edge with high passing accuracy and assist records, likely to unlock Abha's defence. M. Dembélé leads the line with 3 goals this season, making him a key threat. Abha's defensive frailties and poor form suggest they will struggle to contain Al-Ettifaq's offensive prowess. The predicted total of 4 cards indicates a moderately physical contest.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ettifaq are 7th in the league with 12 points from 8 games, while Abha are 18th with 2 points from 7 games.
- 2.Al-Ettifaq have a significantly better goal difference (+8) compared to Abha.
- 3.In 11 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq have won 6 times, Abha 4, with 1 draw.
- 4.Al-Ettifaq average 1.5 points per game this season, Abha only 0.29.
- 5.M. Dembélé is Al-Ettifaq's top scorer with 3 goals in 8 games.
- 6.Álvaro Medrán leads Al-Ettifaq with 3 assists and 86% pass accuracy.
- 7.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline issues.
Prediction
We expect Al-Ettifaq to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted halftime score of 0-1. Despite Abha's efforts, Al-Ettifaq should maintain control and secure a 2-1 victory by fulltime, continuing their better run of form and goal difference advantage.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Abha
No standout top scorers flagged for Abha
Away — Al-Ettifaq
The verdict
In summary, Al-Ettifaq's superior form, attacking creativity, and goal-scoring ability make them the favourites to claim all three points. Abha will need to tighten up defensively and find some attacking spark to challenge the visitors effectively.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:28 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Firas Al-Ghamdi
Yellow Card
Duda
Yellow Card
Al-Zaid
Yellow Card
Meshal Al Alaeli
Duda
Fekir
Larsson
Al-Zaid
Abdulbasit Al-Hindi
Yellow Card
Léon (OG)
Goal cancelled
Celina
Al Fahad
Firas Al-Ghamdi
Unknown
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Abha | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Abha
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3J. GaariD
- 7Firas Al-GhamdiM
- 10N. FekirM
- 11A. GoryM
- 16D. LéonG
- 19Abdullah Al FahadM
- 20K. Al Qahtani
- 37Abdulbasit Al-HindiD
- 39M. Al-ZaidD
- 44M. BatshuayiF
- 80Safwan SaudD
Substitutes
- 4Basil Al SayyaliM
- 6Faisal Al SubianiM
- 9Kamil BoumedmedF
- 12K. Al ShamraniD
- 24Hazim Al ZahraniD
- 26Mustafa MalayekahG
- 28Bader Al MutairiM
- 29Majed DawranM
- 66N. Al Gulaymish
Al-Ettifaq
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4J. HendryD
- 9M. DembéléF
- 10Álvaro MedránM
- 11O. DudaM
- 13Meshal Al AlaeliD
- 17J. LarssonM
- 42A. KantéM
- 43B. CelinaM
- 61Radhi Al OtaibiD
- 70Abdullah KhateebD
- 92Turki Ba Al Jawsh
Substitutes
- 3Abdullah MaduD
- 6Faris Al GhamdiM
- 7Khalid Al GhannamF
- 23Ahmad Al HarbiG
- 29Z. Al Ghamdi
- 33Madallah Al OlayanD
- 58Yasir ShammariM
- 80R. MessiM
- 87Meshal Sibyani
Abha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdulbaset Hindi | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Zaid | D | 75 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Safwan Aljohani | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Keshim Al-Qahtani | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Donovan Léon | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nabil Fekir | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Abdullah Al-Fahad(C) | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Firas Al-Ghamdi | M | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Alimami Gory | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Michy Batshuayi | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Jurien Gaari | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hazim Al Zahrani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kamil Boumedmed | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khaled Al Shamrani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bader Al Mutairi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mustafa Malaika | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faisal Al-Sibyani | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Al Ghulaimish | D | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Majed Dawran | M | 25 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Al-Ettifaq
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Medrán | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Turki Ba Al-Jawsh | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Hendry | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Radhi Al-Oteibi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Abdullah Khateeb(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ondrej Duda | M | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshal Alaeli | D | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Abdoulaye Kanté | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Bersant Celina | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jordan Larsson | M | 73 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Moussa Dembélé | F | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdullah Madu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmad Al Harbi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshal Ali Khayrallah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Ghamdi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faris Al Ghamdi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yasir Shammari | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al-Ghannam | F | 17 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Madallah Al-Olayan | D | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rayane Messi | M | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Abha vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ettifaq to win against Abha.
- What score did Fipster predict for Abha vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Abha 1–2 Al-Ettifaq.
- What were the win probabilities for Abha vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster's model gave Abha a 12% chance of winning, Al-Ettifaq a 75% chance, and a 13% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 75% confidence — a high-confidence call.