Aarhus vs Lech Poznan
- Aggregate:
- Lech Poznan 4 4 Aarhus (pens)
- Advances:
- Aarhus
Match recap
Lech Poznan beat Aarhus 4–1 in their UEFA Champions League fixture. Ishak, Wålemark, Yegbe, and Wålemark scored for Lech Poznan. Aarhus held 43% possession to 57% for Lech Poznan.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-2 Lech Poznan win
Actual
1–4
Outcome probability
Aarhus and Lech Poznan face off in the 2nd qualifying round, both eager to progress but with contrasting recent fortunes in this competition.
Match factors
Lech Poznan's Midfield Scoring Threat
Jens Wålemark leads with 2 goals in 2 games, doubling league midfielder average
Lech Poznan's Wide Playmakers
Joel Pereira and Luis Palma each have 1 assist, providing strong wide creativity and set-piece threat
James Bogere's Home Scoring Form
Bogere scored twice in recent home win, showing strong finishing and confidence
Defensive Stability from Terry Yegbe
Yegbe's high rating and goal contribution bolster Lech Poznan's defense and attack balance
Aarhus' Tobias Bech Assist Potential Conditional
Bech is top assister but probability capped due to fitness uncertainty
The context
Aarhus have played four matches in this competition, winning two but losing two as well, scoring six and conceding nine. Lech Poznan have played two matches, winning one and losing one, with four goals scored and conceded. Their previous head-to-head meeting saw Lech Poznan claim victory.
Key insights
Jens Wålemark
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan's midfield scoring threat is led by Wålemark, who has doubled the league average for midfielders with 2 goals in 2 games.
UEFA Champions League 26/272 goals in 2 games in this competition
Joel Pereira
Lech Poznan
Joel Pereira provides strong wide creativity and set-piece threat with 1 assist in 2 games, boosting Lech Poznan's attacking options.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 assist in 2 games in this competition
- J
James Bogere
Aarhus
James Bogere shows strong home scoring form with 2 goals in 4 games, offering Aarhus a key offensive outlet.
UEFA Champions League 26/272 goals in 4 games in this competition
- T
Terry Yegbe
Lech Poznan
Terry Yegbe's defensive stability and goal contribution bolster Lech Poznan's balance at the back and front.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal and high rating in recent matches in this competition
Analysis
Lech Poznan's midfield, led by Jens Wålemark who has netted twice in two games, poses a significant threat. Their wide playmakers Joel Pereira and Luis Palma add creativity and set-piece danger. Aarhus rely on Kristian Arnstad for goals, but their defensive record suggests vulnerabilities. Lech Poznan's balance between attack and defence, bolstered by Terry Yegbe's contributions, could tip the scales.
Key facts
- 1.Aarhus have played 4 matches in this competition (W2 D0 L2, GF 6 / GA 9)
- 2.Lech Poznan have played 2 matches in this competition (W1 D0 L1, GF 4 / GA 4)
- 3.In 1 head-to-head meeting, Aarhus have won 0, Lech Poznan have won 1, with 0 draws
- 4.Jens Wålemark scored 2 goals in 2 games for Lech Poznan in this competition
- 5.Kristian Arnstad scored 1 goal in this fixture for Aarhus
- 6.Joel Pereira and Luis Palma each have 1 assist for Lech Poznan in this competition
- 7.Terry Yegbe contributed defensively and scored 1 goal for Lech Poznan in recent matches
Prediction
Despite a cautious outlook due to limited data, the prediction leans towards a 2-1 away win for Lech Poznan. Their attacking edge and recent head-to-head success make them slight favourites to progress.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Aarhus
Away — Lech Poznan
The verdict
Expect a competitive encounter with Lech Poznan's midfield quality likely to be decisive. Aarhus will fight hard, but the visitors' sharper edge should see them through.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 11:06 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ishak
Assist: Pereira
Card upgrade
Hansen
Red Card
Jørgensen
Wålemark
Assist: Kozubal
Links
Yellow Card
Murawski
Yellow Card
Murawski
Goal
Assist: Emmery
Yegbe
Assist: Mońka
Wålemark
Assist: Palma
Ishak
Wålemark
Palma
Agnero
Yellow Card
Jensen-Abbew
Bech
Anderson
Pereira
Links
Match Statistics
Aarhus
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1J. HansenG
- 4M. KnudsenM
- 5F. TingagerD
- 8S. JørgensenF
- 10K. Arnstad
- 11G. LinksM
- 19E. KahlD
- 23M. AndersonF
- 31T. BechF
- 39Frederik EmmeryM
- 40J. Jensen-AbbewD
Substitutes
- 13J. SerraF
- 16J. JønssonM
- 17Kevin YakobM
- 20T. KristjánssonF
- 21M. Hedenstad ChristiansenG
- 22O. Haugstrup
- 26J. AndersenD
- 27S. TchamcheF
- 28J. BogereF
- 42M. van der RaadG
- 43Z. GrantzauD
- 44Mouhammade CamaraD
Lech Poznan
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. LisG
- 2Joel PereiraD
- 9M. IshakF
- 10P. WålemarkM
- 15M. GurgulD
- 21Pablo RodríguezM
- 22R. MurawskiM
- 27W. MońkaD
- 43A. KozubalM
- 59T. YegbeD
- 77L. PalmaM
Substitutes
- 4João MoutinhoD
- 7Y. AgneroF
- 11D. HåkansM
- 14L. BengtssonM
- 17A. SayyadmaneshF
- 20R. GumnyD
- 23G. ÞórðarsonM
- 24F. JagiełłoM
- 35M. PruchniewskiG
- 41B. MrozekG
- 72M. SkrzypczakD
- 90H. JanyszkaD
Aarhus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Emmery | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 4/4 |
| Kristian Arnstad(C) | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Magnus Knudsen | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Mikael Anderson | F | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastian Jørgensen | F | 40 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gift Links | M | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Frederik Tingager | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Tobias Bech | F | 73 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Jonas Jensen-Abbew | D | 74 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Kahl | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Jesper Hansen | G | 37 | 4.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Stefen Tchamche | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jens Jønsson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marius van der Raad | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mouhammade Camara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zander Grantzau | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oskar Haugstrup | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Janni Serra | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tómas Óli Kristjánsson | F | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Kevin Yakob | M | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Andersen | D | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| James Bogere | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mads Hedenstad | G | 50 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lech Poznan
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrik Wålemark | M | 66 | 8.9 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — |
| Terry Yegbe | D | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Antoni Kozubal | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Wojciech Mońka | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Joel Pereira | D | 79 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Mikael Ishak(C) | F | 67 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Michal Gurgul | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Luis Palma | M | 66 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Pablo Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Mateusz Lis | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Radosław Murawski | M | 54 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Hubert Janyszka | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Pruchniewski | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allahyar Sayyadmanesh | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateusz Skrzypczak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gisli Thordarson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Moutinho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartosz Mrozek | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Gumny | D | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Bengtsson | M | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Håkans | M | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Filip Jagiełło | M | 36 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Yannick Agnero | F | 23 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Aarhus vs Lech Poznan?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Lech Poznan to win against Aarhus.
- What score did Fipster predict for Aarhus vs Lech Poznan?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Aarhus 1–2 Lech Poznan.
- What were the win probabilities for Aarhus vs Lech Poznan?
- Fipster's model gave Aarhus a 32% chance of winning, Lech Poznan a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.