Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Egnatia Rrogozhinë snatch draw at Aarhus
A tight contest sees both sides share the spoils in the Europa Conference League.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë took an early lead through I. Gruda before J. Bogere levelled for Aarhus just after the break, resulting in a 1-1 draw. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, proving the visitors' resilience on the road.
Outcome probability
The upcoming Group Stage fixture between Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë promises a competitive match with both sides eager to make their mark. While detailed recent form and standings are scarce, the prediction leans towards a home win by a narrow margin.
Match factors
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë have no confirmed absences, so full squads are available.
Limited player data restricts individual impact predictions
Neither team has top scorers or assisters listed, limiting ability to identify key contributors.
Uncertain form due to lack of recent fixture data
No recent home or away fixtures data available for either team to assess momentum.
The context
This Group Stage match sees Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë face off without much recent fixture data to guide us. Both teams have full squads available, with no confirmed injuries, making for a fair contest. The lack of historical head-to-head or current standings data means this game could swing either way, but home advantage might just tip the scales.
Key facts
- 1.Aarhus have the highest aggregate probability for a home win at approximately 39%.
- 2.The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Aarhus.
- 3.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are available.
- 4.Limited recent fixture data means form momentum is uncertain for both sides.
- 5.Prediction includes an expected total of 4 cards, indicating a potentially physical match.
Analysis
The statistical edge slightly favours Aarhus, with the highest aggregate probability pointing to a home win. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, suggesting a tight game with both teams finding the net. However, the absence of standout individual player data and recent form details means this prediction carries a cautious tone. Both sides will need to rely on collective effort rather than individual brilliance.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Aarhus
Away — Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Prediction
Expect Aarhus to clinch a 2-1 victory in this Group Stage encounter. The home side's slight advantage in probabilities and the predicted scoreline indicate a match where they just manage to outscore Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Fans should brace for a close contest with a few cards likely, as the game could get a bit feisty.
The verdict
In summary, Aarhus are favoured to take the three points with a 2-1 win over Egnatia Rrogozhinë. While the prediction is made with limited data, the home side's edge and the anticipated close scoreline suggest an entertaining match. Both teams have full squads, so expect a spirited battle until the final whistle.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kahl
Red Card
Andrey Yago
Yellow Card
McCowatt
Gruda
Assist: Adjessa
Kryeziu
Yellow Card
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Yellow Card
Serra
Tingager
Bogere
Assist: Jørgensen
Andrey Yago
Kryeziu
Jaime
Albanese
Andersen
Bitri
Yellow Card
Jørgensen
Loukili
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mjallby AIF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 22 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 23 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 24 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 25 |  Aarhus | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 26 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Aarhus
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1J. HansenG
- 5F. TingagerD
- 7M. SolbakkenM
- 8S. JørgensenF
- 10Kristian Fredrik Malt ArnstadM
- 13J. SerraF
- 18C. McCowattF
- 19E. KahlD
- 25C. RöslerD
- 26J. AndersenM
- 29R. CarstensenM
Substitutes
- 3D. GrétarssonD
- 4M. KnudsenM
- 14T. MølgaardD
- 16J. JønssonM
- 21M. Hedenstad ChristiansenG
- 27S. TchamcheF
- 28J. BogereF
- 31T. BechF
- 33Luka CalløD
- 39Frederik EmmeryF
- 42M. van der RaadG
- 43Z. GrantzauD
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 2D. AdjessaF
- 6A. AleksiM
- 10A. AlbaneseM
- 17A. KryeziuM
- 20K. LoukiliM
- 22Guillem JaimeD
- 28E. SotaD
- 29Andrey YagoD
- 33E. BitriD
- 77I. GrudaF
- 98M. DajsinaniG
Substitutes
- 1L. TandilashviliG
- 4Z. ƏliyevD
- 7Fernando MedeirosM
- 8I. DiabatéM
- 12B. PujaG
- 13A. KacbufiD
- 16E. NdrecaD
- 24N. AjetovikjD
- 55G. SmajliD
- 99J. MontenegroF
Aarhus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Carstensen | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Jesper Hansen | G | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Jørgensen | F | 83 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Colin Rösler | D | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Janni Serra | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristian Arnstad(C) | M | 86 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| Callum McCowatt | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frederik Tingager | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Markus Solbakken | M | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jacob Andersen | M | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Kahl | D | 3 | 3.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Zander Grantzau | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marius van der Raad | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Callø | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefen Tchamche | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Bech | F | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mads Hedenstad | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Magnus Knudsen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jens Jønsson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Bogere | F | 41 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Tobias Mølgaard | D | 74 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Daníel Grétarsson | D | 41 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frederik Emmery | F | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ildi Gruda | F | 86 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 5 | 4 | — | 0/1 |
| Eljon Sota | D | 86 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillem Jaime | D | 63 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Eneo Bitri | D | 86 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Karim Loukili | M | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Albano Aleksi(C) | M | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Adjessa | F | 86 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Alessandro Albanese | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Altin Kryeziu | M | 54 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Andrey Yago | D | 54 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Mario Dajsinani | G | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ibrahim Diabaté | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Levan Tandilashvili | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zamiq Aliyev | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Kacbufi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Puja | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jurguens Montenegro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Geralb Smajli | D | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Numan Ajetovikj | D | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Edison Ndreca | D | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Fernando Medeiros | M | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Aarhus to win against Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
- What score did Fipster predict for Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Aarhus 2–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
- What were the win probabilities for Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
- Fipster's model gave Aarhus a 35% chance of winning, Egnatia Rrogozhinë a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.