1899 Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen
Match recap
1899 Hoffenheim beat Werder Bremen 1–0 in their Bundesliga fixture. Touré scored for 1899 Hoffenheim. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.52 for 1899 Hoffenheim versus 1.07 for Werder Bremen. 1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th in the Bundesliga table while Werder Bremen are 15th.
Analysis
As the Bundesliga season nears its climax, 1899 Hoffenheim host Werder Bremen in a fixture that promises goals and excitement. Hoffenheim's home advantage and recent form suggest they will be the team celebrating at full time.
Hoffenheim currently sit comfortably in 5th place with 61 points, while Bremen struggle near the relegation zone at 15th with 32 points. Historically, Hoffenheim have the upper hand in this matchup, winning 11 of their 20 meetings. The home side's superior goal difference and scoring record at home further tilt the scales in their favour.
Key players like Andrej Kramarić and Bazoumana Touré have been instrumental for Hoffenheim, combining for goals and assists with impressive consistency. Kramarić boasts 18 season goals and 8 assists, while Touré contributes both goals and creative spark. Defensively, Hoffenheim's Vladimír Coufal offers quality service from the right flank, exploiting Bremen's defensive vulnerabilities. Bremen's defensive frailties and Hoffenheim's attacking momentum suggest a high-scoring home win.
Prediction
We confidently predict a 3-1 victory for Hoffenheim, with a halftime lead of 1-0 setting the tone. The match is expected to feature four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Our confidence in this outcome stands at a robust 95%, supported by statistical trends and player form.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Kramarić-Touré synergy key for Hoffenheim
Their strong recent link-up and combined goal involvement create multiple scoring threats.
Hoffenheim's superior home scoring form
Average 2.06 goals at home vs Bremen's 1.06 away, supporting predicted 3-1 scoreline.
Bremen's defensive struggles continue
Conceded in last 5 matches, vulnerable to Hoffenheim's attacking midfielders and forwards.
Coufal's crossing exploits Bremen's left flank
High crossing accuracy and assist record likely to create chances against Bremen defense.
No key injuries reported for either side
Full squads expected, allowing both teams to field strongest lineups.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Hoffenheim's home strength, combined with their attacking talents and Bremen's defensive struggles, make a convincing home win the most likely scenario. Fans can expect an entertaining match with Hoffenheim pulling away in the second half to secure all three points.
- 1899 Hoffenheim have won 11 of 20 head-to-head matches against Werder Bremen.
- The average goals per head-to-head match is 3.0, favouring an open game.
- Hoffenheim rank 5th with 61 points from 33 games, Bremen 15th with 32 points.
- Hoffenheim's goal difference is significantly better than Bremen's this season.
- Bazoumana Touré scored in the recent fixture, highlighting his offensive threat.
- Andrej Kramarić leads Hoffenheim with 18 goals this season.
- Werder Bremen have conceded in their last 5 matches, showing defensive issues.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — 1899 Hoffenheim
Away — Werder Bremen
No standout top scorers flagged for Werder Bremen
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Card upgrade
Sugawara
Red Card
Musah
Touré
Assist: Kramarić
Cameron Puertas
Yellow Card
Touré
Bernardo
Yellow Card
Schmid
Stage
Bernardo
Lemperle
Unknown
Njinmah
Yellow Card
Asllani
Kramarić
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 | 89 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 | 62 |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 | 61 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 59 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 32 |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 | 29 |
Match Statistics
1899 Hoffenheim
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Oliver BaumannG
- 5Ozan Muhammed KabakD
- 7Leon AvdullahuM
- 11Fisnik AsllaniM
- 13BernardoD
- 18Wouter BurgerM
- 19Tim LemperleF
- 21Albian HajdariD
- 27Andrej KramarićM
- 29Bazoumana TouréM
- 34Vladimír CoufalD
Substitutes
- 2Robin HranáčD
- 6Grischa PrömelM
- 10Muhammed Mehmet DamarM
- 20William Cole CampbellF
- 22Alexander PrassD
- 23Adam HložekF
- 25Kevin John Ufuoma AkpogumaD
- 33Max MoerstedtF
- 37Luca PhilippG
Werder Bremen
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2Olivier DemanD
- 3Yukinari SugawaraD
- 5Amos PieperD
- 6Jens Dalsgaard StageM
- 11Justin Gideon NjinmahM
- 14Senne Maaike LynenM
- 18Cameron PuertasM
- 20Romano Christian SchmidM
- 29S. MusahF
- 30Mio BackhausG
- 32Marco FriedlD
Substitutes
- 4Niklas StarkD
- 7Samuel-Germain Kinduelu Mbangula TshifundaF
- 17Marco GrüllF
- 19Jovan MiloševićF
- 23Isaac Osa's SchmidtD
- 24Patrice ČovićM
- 25Markus KolkeG
- 31Abdoul Karim CoulibalyD
- 39Maximilian WöberD
1899 Hoffenheim
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albian Hajdari | D | 90 | 8.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vladimír Coufal | D | 90 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4/5 |
| Leon Avdullahu | M | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Ozan Kabak | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Wouter Burger | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Bazoumana Touré | M | 57 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Oliver Baumann(C) | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrej Kramarić | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Bernardo | D | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fisnik Asllani | M | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Tim Lemperle | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kevin Akpoguma | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Grischa Prömel | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Moerstedt | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammed Damar | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Philipp | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Hložek | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Hranáč | D | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Campbell | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Prass | D | 33 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Werder Bremen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mio Backhaus | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Senne Lynen | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Olivier Deman | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Cameron Puertas | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Jens Stage | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salim Musah | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Njinmah | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Romano Schmid | M | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Marco Friedl(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amos Pieper | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yukinari Sugawara | D | 5 | 3.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jovan Milošević | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niklas Stark | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrice Čović | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Karim Coulibaly | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Markus Kolke | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Wöber | D | 10 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Marco Grüll | F | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Samuel Mbangula | F | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac Schmidt | D | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |