1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
Hložek's brace seals Hoffenheim win
A. Hložek shines with two goals as Hoffenheim edge Stuttgart 2-1.
Hoffenheim secured a narrow 2-1 victory over VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga, thanks to a brace from A. Hložek. Stuttgart briefly levelled through M. Mittelstädt just after the break, but Hložek restored the lead midway through the second half. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Hoffenheim win proved accurate, landing the exact scoreline.
Outcome probability
The Bundesliga season kicks off with an intriguing clash between 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart. Both sides have been busy in the transfer market, shaping their squads for the challenges ahead. Hoffenheim have welcomed M. Rots, P. Wimmer, and A. Daghim, while bidding farewell to B. Touré and G. Prömel. Stuttgart, meanwhile, have strengthened with the arrivals of D. Pejčinović, G. Prömel, and L. Sauer. This opening fixture promises a competitive encounter as both teams look to start their campaigns on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.1899 Hoffenheim have signed M. Rots, P. Wimmer, and A. Daghim this summer.
- 2.Hoffenheim have lost B. Touré and G. Prömel in the off-season.
- 3.VfB Stuttgart have strengthened with D. Pejčinović, G. Prömel, and L. Sauer.
- 4.Stuttgart finished last season with a better goal difference (+22) than Hoffenheim (+13).
- 5.This is the first competitive league match of the 2026 Bundesliga season for both teams.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 1-1, with Hoffenheim edging a 2-1 win by fulltime.
- 7.The match is expected to see around three total cards, reflecting a competitive opener.
The context
Neither Hoffenheim nor Stuttgart have played a league game this season, so this match marks the first competitive outing for both sides. Last season’s performances and summer business set the stage for what should be a closely contested encounter. Hoffenheim sit just behind Stuttgart in the league standings from last term, with Stuttgart boasting a superior goal difference. Both teams will be eager to make an early statement in the Bundesliga.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — 1899 Hoffenheim
Away — VfB Stuttgart
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a Hoffenheim victory, with a 2-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. The halftime score is expected to be 1-1, indicating a balanced first half before Hoffenheim pull ahead. Hoffenheim’s summer signings could provide fresh impetus, while Stuttgart’s additions aim to bolster their already solid squad. The goal difference advantage for Stuttgart suggests they have firepower, but Hoffenheim’s home advantage and tactical setup may just tip the scales. Expect a competitive match with a few cards, likely around three, reflecting the intensity of a season opener.
Prediction
We anticipate Hoffenheim to clinch a narrow 2-1 win over Stuttgart. The first half should be evenly matched, ending 1-1, before Hoffenheim edge ahead in the second half. This result aligns with the aggregated probabilities and the expected flow of the game, making it a cautious but confident call for the home side to start the season with three points.
The verdict
As the Bundesliga season gets underway, Hoffenheim and Stuttgart will look to set the tone with a competitive and entertaining fixture. Hoffenheim’s slight edge in this prediction suggests they will start the campaign positively, but Stuttgart will no doubt push hard to spoil the party. Fans can expect a tight game with moments of quality and a few tactical battles along the way.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Hložek
Assist: Conté
Stiller
Penalty cancelled
Mittelstädt
Conté
Burger
Yellow Card
Führich
Demirović
Hložek
Assist: Daghim
Coufal
Rots
Vagnoman
Hendriks
Lemperle
Hložek
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
Match Statistics
1899 Hoffenheim
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1O. BaumannG
- 5O. KabakD
- 7L. AvdullahuM
- 10A. HložekF
- 14A. DaghimM
- 18W. BurgerM
- 19T. LemperleF
- 20B. ContéM
- 21A. HajdariD
- 34V. CoufalD
- 39M. RotsD
Substitutes
- 2R. HranáčD
- 8P. WimmerM
- 9Max MoerstedtF
- 11F. AsllaniF
- 15V. GendreyD
- 17Nathan De CatM
- 27A. KramarićF
- 28K. MachidaD
- 37L. PhilippG
VfB Stuttgart
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1F. BredlowG
- 3R. HendriksD
- 4J. VagnomanM
- 6A. StillerM
- 7M. MittelstädtM
- 9E. DemirovićM
- 10C. FührichM
- 17D. PejčinovićF
- 21G. PrömelM
- 24J. ChabotD
- 29Finn JeltschD
Substitutes
- 11B. El KhannoussM
- 16A. KarazorM
- 18J. LewelingF
- 20L. StergiouD
- 26D. UndavF
- 33M. FunkG
- 37Maximilian Tobias HerwerthD
- 44L. SauerF
- 47Y. SpaltD
1899 Hoffenheim
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hložek | F | 82 | 8.4 | 2 | — | 7 | 3 | — | 0/2 |
| A. Daghim | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 2/4 |
| M. Rots | D | 69 | 7.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| B. Conté | M | 55 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| O. Kabak | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| P. Wimmer | M | 35 | 7.1 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| F. Asllani | F | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| K. Machida | D | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Baumann | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Avdullahu | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Coufal | D | 69 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| T. Lemperle | F | 82 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | — |
| A. Hajdari | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Burger | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| A. Kramarić | F | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Gendrey | D | 21 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan De Cat | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Hranáč | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Philipp | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Moerstedt | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mittelstädt | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1/2 |
| F. Bredlow | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Hendriks | D | 81 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Y. Spalt | D | 55 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Chabot | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Stiller | M | 35 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Leweling | F | 9 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Führich | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| J. Vagnoman | M | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| D. Undav | F | 25 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Sauer | F | 9 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finn Jeltsch | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| D. Pejčinović | F | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| G. Prömel | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| E. Demirović | M | 65 | 5.6 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Maximilian Tobias Herwerth | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Funk | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Karazor | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Stergiou | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |