1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund snatch narrow win at Hoffenheim
A late own goal seals a 3-2 victory for the visitors in a tight Bundesliga clash.
Hoffenheim looked strong with goals from L. Avdullahu and T. Lemperle, but Borussia Dortmund fought back after the break through S. Guirassy and Fábio Silva. The match was ultimately decided by an own goal from A. Hajdari in the 86th minute, handing Dortmund a narrow 3-2 win. Fipster's prediction of an away win proved spot on, though the exact scoreline was slightly off.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-2 Borussia Dortmund win
Actual
2–3
Outcome probability
The new Bundesliga season kicks off with an intriguing clash between 1899 Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund. Both sides have been busy in the transfer market, aiming to start the campaign on a high note. Hoffenheim have bolstered their squad with the arrivals of M. Rots and A. Daghim, while Dortmund welcome J. Veerman and Kouakou Joane Gadou, having parted ways with J. Brandt. This fixture promises a competitive encounter as both teams look to set the tone for the season ahead.
Key facts
- 1.Borussia Dortmund have a significantly better goal difference (36) than 1899 Hoffenheim (13) from last season.
- 2.1899 Hoffenheim have signed M. Rots and A. Daghim ahead of the new season.
- 3.Borussia Dortmund have added J. Veerman and Kouakou Joane Gadou to their squad.
- 4.Borussia Dortmund lost J. Brandt to free agency during the summer.
- 5.The predicted halftime score is 1-1, indicating a balanced first half.
- 6.The total number of cards expected in the match is three.
- 7.Borussia Dortmund finished last season ranked 2nd in the league.
- 8.1899 Hoffenheim finished last season ranked 5th in the league.
The context
This match marks the second round of the regular season, with both teams eager to make an early statement. Hoffenheim finished last season strongly, securing a respectable league position, while Dortmund aim to build on their solid performances from the previous campaign. The newcomers to each squad could play pivotal roles, adding fresh dynamics to their respective line-ups. The clash is expected to be a tactical battle, with Dortmund's superior goal difference from last season suggesting a slight edge.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — 1899 Hoffenheim
Away — Borussia Dortmund
Analysis
Borussia Dortmund's attacking prowess and goal difference superiority hint at their ability to break down Hoffenheim's defence. The prediction models favour an away win, with a 2-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. A 1-1 halftime score suggests an evenly matched first half, with Dortmund pulling ahead in the second. The expected three cards indicate a competitive but controlled encounter. Hoffenheim's new signings may inject energy, but Dortmund's squad depth and recent transfer activity give them the upper hand.
Prediction
We anticipate a closely fought match with both teams finding the net in the first half. However, Borussia Dortmund are likely to edge ahead in the second half, securing a 2-1 victory. The game should feature a handful of bookings, reflecting the intensity and stakes of the season opener. Fans can expect a spirited contest with Dortmund's quality and recent reinforcements proving decisive.
The verdict
As the Bundesliga season gets underway, this fixture sets the tone for what promises to be an exciting campaign. Hoffenheim will look to their new signings to spark their challenge, but Dortmund's blend of experience and fresh talent positions them as favourites to take all three points. A 2-1 away win seems the most fitting outcome for this eagerly awaited encounter.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mané
Kabak
Yellow Card
Hajdari
Yellow Card
Nmecha
Avdullahu
Assist: Coufal
Lemperle
Assist: Daghim
Guirassy
Assist: Anton
Karetsas
Kouakou Joane Gadou
Burger
Yellow Card
Fábio Silva
Assist: Guirassy
Hložek
Wimmer
Reggiani
Yellow Card
Beier
Yellow Card
Burger
Kabak
Kramarić
Yellow Card
Lemperle
Hajdari (OG)
Guirassy
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | |
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 | |
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Statistics
1899 Hoffenheim
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1O. BaumannG
- 5O. KabakD
- 7L. AvdullahuM
- 8P. WimmerM
- 10A. HložekF
- 14A. DaghimM
- 18W. BurgerM
- 19T. LemperleF
- 21A. HajdariD
- 34V. CoufalD
- 39M. RotsD
Substitutes
- 2R. HranáčD
- 9Max MoerstedtF
- 13BernardoD
- 15V. GendreyD
- 17Nathan De CatM
- 20B. ContéM
- 27A. KramarićF
- 32Cajetan Benjamin LenzM
- 37L. PhilippG
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1G. KobelG
- 3W. AntonD
- 7J. BellinghamM
- 8F. NmechaM
- 9S. GuirassyF
- 14M. BeierM
- 19K. KaretsasM
- 22Kouakou Joane GadouD
- 24D. SvenssonM
- 26J. RyersonM
- 39F. ManéD
Substitutes
- 17C. ChukwuemekaM
- 18E. NwaneriM
- 20M. SabitzerM
- 21Fábio SilvaF
- 25J. VeermanM
- 33A. MeyerG
- 36Kauã PratesD
- 41M. AlbertF
- 49L. ReggianiD
1899 Hoffenheim
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Avdullahu | M | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| T. Lemperle | F | 84 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0/3 |
| M. Rots | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| A. Daghim | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0/5 |
| V. Coufal | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Max Moerstedt | F | 6 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hložek | F | 73 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| R. Hranáč | D | 11 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| W. Burger | M | 79 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| A. Kramarić | F | 17 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Kabak | D | 79 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Nathan De Cat | M | 11 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| B. Conté | M | 17 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Baumann | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Wimmer | M | 73 | 5.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| A. Hajdari | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernardo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Gendrey | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cajetan Benjamin Lenz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Philipp | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Guirassy | F | 87 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Fábio Silva | F | 28 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| W. Anton | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| G. Kobel | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ryerson | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Kouakou Joane Gadou | D | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Karetsas | M | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/6 |
| D. Svensson | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| F. Mané | D | 32 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Nmecha | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Beier | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Veerman | M | 44 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Sabitzer | M | 3 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Nwaneri | M | 58 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| L. Reggiani | D | 27 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauã Prates | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Albert | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Chukwuemeka | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Meyer | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |







