1899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş snatch thrilling win at Hoffenheim
A late flurry of goals sees Beşiktaş edge out Hoffenheim 3-2 in a Europa League cracker.
Beşiktaş turned the game on its head after the break, with A. Murillo opening the scoring at 60'. Hoffenheim's F. Asllani briefly levelled, but Oh Hyeon-Gyu's brace between 72' and 79' put Beşiktaş firmly in control. Despite a late reply from K. Machida, Hoffenheim couldn't find an equaliser, and Beşiktaş held on for a narrow victory. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a draw, delivering a much livelier contest than expected.
Outcome probability
As Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş prepare to face off in their Group Stage encounter, both sides look evenly matched. The game promises a tactical battle with neither team expected to dominate early on.
Match factors
Beşiktaş's O. Kökçü in strong scoring form
O. Kökçü has scored 2 goals in last 5 games, including penalties, showing good finishing form
Beşiktaş's defensive solidity
Beşiktaş has kept 4 clean sheets in last 5 games, conceding 0 goals away recently
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have no confirmed absences, so full squads likely available
The context
Beşiktaş have shown strong form in this competition, boasting a record of five wins and one loss from six matches, conceding just once. Hoffenheim, meanwhile, have yet to make a significant mark in this tournament phase, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Analysis
The probabilities favour a draw, with 1-1 emerging as the most likely final scoreline. A goalless first half aligns with the expectation of cautious play from both sides. Beşiktaş's defensive solidity is notable, having kept four clean sheets in their last five games and conceding no goals away recently. Hoffenheim will need to break down this resilient defence, while Beşiktaş will rely on their in-form midfielder O. Köksçü, who has scored twice in his last five appearances and is their key penalty taker.
Key facts
- 1.Beşiktaş have a strong Group Stage record with 5 wins and 1 loss in 6 matches.
- 2.Beşiktaş have conceded only 1 goal in this competition so far.
- 3.Beşiktaş have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 games.
- 4.O. Köksçü has scored 2 goals in his last 5 games and is Beşiktaş's key penalty taker.
- 5.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are likely available.
- 6.The most probable halftime score is 0-0, consistent with a cautious start.
- 7.The predicted final score of 1-1 is the most likely draw outcome.
- 8.The match is finely balanced with a medium confidence prediction for a draw.
Prediction
We predict a 0-0 scoreline at halftime, with both teams feeling each other out. The second half should see goals from both sides, ending in a 1-1 draw. This result reflects the balanced nature of the fixture and the strengths each team brings to the pitch.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — 1899 Hoffenheim
No standout top scorers flagged for 1899 Hoffenheim
Away — Beşiktaş
The verdict
In a match where neither side is expected to dominate, a 1-1 draw seems a fair outcome. Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş will both take points from this encounter, setting up an intriguing remainder of the Group Stage.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
No recent fixture data
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
1899 Hoffenheim has no record in this competition yet, so there is nothing to compare these totals against.
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Asllani
Yellow Card
Kökçü
Daghim
Hložek
Murillo
Assist: Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Kabak
Yellow Card
Asllani
Assist: Lemperle
Kramarić
Burger
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Assist: Olaitan
Olaitan
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Assist: Fakili
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Yellow Card
Kabak
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Machida
Assist: Coufal
Ndidi
Machida
Yellow Card
Ouattara
Lemperle
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 13 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 |  Beşiktaş | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 33 |  Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 34 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 35 |  AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Statistics
1899 Hoffenheim
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1O. BaumannG
- 5O. KabakD
- 7L. AvdullahuM
- 10A. HložekF
- 11F. AsllaniM
- 13BernardoD
- 14A. DaghimM
- 18W. BurgerM
- 27A. KramarićM
- 28K. MachidaD
- 34V. CoufalD
Substitutes
- 2R. HranáčD
- 9Max MoerstedtF
- 15V. GendreyD
- 17Nathan De CatM
- 19T. LemperleF
- 20B. ContéM
- 22A. PrassD
- 29Natnael AbrahaD
- 32Cajetan Benjamin LenzM
- 36L. PeterssonG
- 37L. PhilippG
- 39M. RotsD
Beşiktaş
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. NübelG
- 4W. NdidiM
- 9Oh Hyeon-GyuF
- 10O. KökçüM
- 11K. OuattaraD
- 12E. AgbadouD
- 15J. OlaitanM
- 19L. TrossardM
- 29I. FakiliM
- 53E. TopçuD
- 62A. MurilloD
Substitutes
- 6S. ÖzcanM
- 8K. YılmazM
- 17E. PokuF
- 21F. MirettiM
- 22Taylan BulutD
- 33R. YılmazD
- 35Tiago DjalóD
- 50Ü. AkdağD
- 58Y. ÖzcanD
- 70Sami Bircan AhmetF
- 80D. AlemdarG
- 90S. KılıçsoyF
1899 Hoffenheim
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Machida | D | 90 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| F. Asllani | M | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Bernardo | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| V. Coufal | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| L. Avdullahu | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| A. Prass | D | 31 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hložek | F | 59 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Lemperle | F | 31 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Kramarić | M | 72 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Hranáč | D | 5 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan De Cat | M | 18 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| W. Burger | M | 72 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| B. Conté | M | 18 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| O. Kabak | D | 85 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Baumann | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Daghim | M | 59 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Max Moerstedt | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Rots | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cajetan Benjamin Lenz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Natnael Abraha | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Petersson | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Philipp | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Gendrey | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Beşiktaş
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oh Hyeon-Gyu | F | 85 | 9.4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2/2 |
| A. Murillo | D | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/3 |
| K. Ouattara | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| I. Fakili | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| O. Kökçü | M | 46 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| E. Topçu | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Olaitan | M | 78 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| S. Kılıçsoy | F | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| F. Miretti | M | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| L. Trossard | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 5 | 2/4 |
| E. Agbadou | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Nübel | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| W. Ndidi | M | 91 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Özcan | M | 12 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Y. Özcan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taylan Bulut | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sami Bircan Ahmet | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Djaló | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Yılmaz | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Yılmaz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Alemdar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Poku | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ü. Akdağ | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?
- Fipster's AI model predicted a draw between 1899 Hoffenheim and Beşiktaş.
- What score did Fipster predict for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?
- Fipster predicted a final score of 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 Beşiktaş.
- What were the win probabilities for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş?
- Fipster's model gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 27% chance of winning, Beşiktaş a 27% chance, and a 46% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 46% confidence — a medium-confidence call.