1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen
Hoffenheim seals commanding win over Leverkusen
A late flurry of goals from Kramarić, Prass, and Moerstedt secures a 3-0 victory.
Hoffenheim delivered a strong finish to their Bundesliga clash with Bayer Leverkusen, scoring three goals after the 75th minute to secure a 3-0 win. A. Kramarić opened the scoring with a penalty at 79', followed by A. Prass and Max Moerstedt adding late goals to seal the dominant victory. While Fipster predicted a high-scoring home win with low confidence, the actual result matched the predicted outcome, albeit with a more decisive margin and fewer goals.
Outcome probability
This Bundesliga clash promises plenty of goals and excitement as Hoffenheim take on Bayer Leverkusen. Both sides have shown attacking intent this season, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter.
Match factors
Leverkusen's prolific striker advantage
Patrik Schick's 5 goals in 5 games give Leverkusen a clear attacking edge
Hoffenheim's attacking midfield contribution
Adam Daghim's 2 goals and 2 assists this season boost Hoffenheim's creativity
Leverkusen's positive recent form
Leverkusen has won 4 of last 6 with strong scoring, supporting predicted win
Leverkusen missing key attackers
Christian Kofane is out, reducing attacking depth and possibly shifting roles
The context
In their 20 previous meetings, Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen are perfectly matched with eight wins apiece and four draws. Their head-to-head matches average 3.5 goals, reflecting a history of open and entertaining games. Currently, Leverkusen sit comfortably in 4th place with 13 points, while Hoffenheim struggle near the bottom at 17th with just 3 points from five games.
Key insights
Patrik Schick
Bayer Leverkusen
Schick’s five goals in five games make him Leverkusen’s key attacking threat and a constant danger to Hoffenheim’s defence.
Bundesliga 26/275 goals in 5 games
Adam Daghim
1899 Hoffenheim
Daghim’s contribution of two goals and two assists this season boosts Hoffenheim’s creativity and goal threat from midfield.
Bundesliga 26/272 goals and 2 assists in 5 games
Analysis
Leverkusen boast a potent attack led by Patrik Schick, who has netted five goals in five games, making him a constant threat. Hoffenheim, despite their league position, have creative spark from Adam Daghim, contributing both goals and assists. The prediction of a 4-3 scoreline aligns with the teams' tendency for high-scoring matches and balanced competitiveness. The halftime forecast of 2-2 suggests an open first half with both sides trading blows before Hoffenheim edge ahead in the second half.
Key facts
- 1.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Hoffenheim and Leverkusen have 8 wins each and 4 draws.
- 2.Their matches average 3.5 goals, indicating open, attacking games.
- 3.Leverkusen are 4th in the league with 13 points from 6 games.
- 4.Hoffenheim sit 17th with 3 points from 5 games.
- 5.Patrik Schick leads Leverkusen’s scoring with 5 goals in 5 games.
- 6.Adam Daghim contributes 2 goals and 2 assists for Hoffenheim this season.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 2-2, suggesting a competitive first half.
- 8.A total of 4 cards is expected, hinting at some robust challenges.
Prediction
We see Hoffenheim clinching a narrow 4-3 victory in a thrilling contest. The Werkself’s attacking prowess will keep them in the game, but Hoffenheim’s resilience and home advantage should see them through. Expect a lively match with plenty of goalmouth action and a few cards along the way.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — 1899 Hoffenheim
Away — Bayer Leverkusen
The verdict
This fixture is set to be a cracker, with both teams eager to prove their mettle. Hoffenheim’s narrow win will be a welcome boost for their campaign, while Leverkusen will rue missed chances. Fans should prepare for an entertaining afternoon of Bundesliga football.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 17:25 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Fernández
Yellow Card
Diaby
Prass
Yellow Card
Schick
Yellow Card
Fernández
Quansah
Tella
Hložek
Avdullahu
Yellow Card
Burger
Medina
Yellow Card
Penalty confirmed
Kramarić
Penalty
Daghim
Yellow Card
Asllani
Daghim
Medina
Prass
Assist: Kramarić
Prass
Red Card
Moerstedt
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
Match Statistics
1899 Hoffenheim
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1O. BaumannG
- 5O. KabakD
- 7L. AvdullahuM
- 10A. HložekM
- 11F. AsllaniF
- 14A. DaghimM
- 18W. BurgerM
- 22A. PrassM
- 28K. MachidaD
- 34V. CoufalD
- 39M. RotsD
Substitutes
- 2R. HranáčD
- 9Max MoerstedtF
- 13BernardoD
- 15V. GendreyD
- 20B. ContéM
- 27A. KramarićF
- 29Natnael AbrahaD
- 32Cajetan Benjamin LenzM
- 37L. PhilippG
Bayer Leverkusen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. FlekkenG
- 2F. MedinaD
- 3Miguel GutiérrezD
- 4J. QuansahD
- 6E. FernándezM
- 12E. TapsobaD
- 14P. SchickF
- 19M. DiabyM
- 23N. TellaM
- 24Aleix GarcíaM
- 30I. MazaM
Substitutes
- 5L. BadéD
- 7J. HofmannM
- 8R. AndrichM
- 9Afonso MoreiraF
- 10M. TillmanM
- 15T. OermannD
- 17Lucas VázquezD
- 22V. BonifaceF
- 28J. BlaswichG
1899 Hoffenheim
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kramarić | F | 25 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Kabak | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| V. Coufal | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Max Moerstedt | F | 6 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| K. Machida | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Prass | M | 91 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| R. Hranáč | D | 6 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Rots | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| B. Conté | M | 18 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. Avdullahu | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| W. Burger | M | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| F. Asllani | F | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/3 |
| A. Hložek | M | 65 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| O. Baumann | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Daghim | M | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/5 |
| Bernardo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Natnael Abraha | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cajetan Benjamin Lenz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Philipp | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Gendrey | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleix García | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| E. Tapsoba | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Andrich | M | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Tillman | M | 49 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| P. Schick | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| I. Maza | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| L. Badé | D | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Medina | D | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Tella | M | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Diaby | M | 41 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| J. Quansah | D | 64 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 64 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Afonso Moreira | F | 26 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Flekken | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hofmann | M | 6 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Blaswich | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Boniface | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Oermann | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Vázquez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- Fipster's AI model predicted 1899 Hoffenheim to win against Bayer Leverkusen.
- What score did Fipster predict for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- Fipster predicted a final score of 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 Bayer Leverkusen.
- What were the win probabilities for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- Fipster's model gave 1899 Hoffenheim a 42% chance of winning, Bayer Leverkusen a 29% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 42% confidence — a low-confidence call.