1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen
Bremen snatch draw at Köln
Füllkrug's second-half strike cancels out Maina's early opener.
1. FC Köln looked to be cruising after L. Maina's first-half goal, despite an early missed penalty from T. Dallinga. However, Werder Bremen's N. Füllkrug leveled the score well into the second half, earning a hard-fought 1-1 draw. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a Köln win, proving the visitors' resilience.
Outcome probability
The new Bundesliga season kicks off with an intriguing clash between 1. FC Köln and Werder Bremen. Both sides have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive opener that promises goals and drama.
Key facts
- 1.1. FC Köln have a better goal difference than Werder Bremen this season by 9 goals.
- 2.Both teams finished the previous season with 32 points from 34 games, separated only by goal difference.
- 3.1. FC Köln have signed Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler and G. Mensah over the summer.
- 4.Werder Bremen have added A. Schlager and E. Dinkçi (on loan) to their squad.
- 5.J. Kamiński has departed 1. FC Köln during the summer transfer window.
- 6.Werder Bremen lost R. Schmid, M. Backhaus, and Abdoul Karim Coulibaly in transfers.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of 1. FC Köln.
- 8.The most likely fulltime scoreline is 2-1 to 1. FC Köln.
The context
Last season's campaigns saw both teams finish closely in the league standings, separated only by goal difference. Köln have strengthened their ranks with the signings of Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler and G. Mensah, while bidding farewell to J. Kamiński. Bremen, meanwhile, have welcomed A. Schlager and E. Dinkçi on loan but lost key players including R. Schmid and M. Backhaus. These changes could well influence the dynamics of this early-season encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — 1. FC Köln
Away — Werder Bremen
Analysis
The statistical edge lies with 1. FC Köln, who boast a superior goal difference compared to Werder Bremen. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 aligns with the most probable fulltime result of 2-1, suggesting a tightly contested match with Köln maintaining a slight advantage. Both teams will be eager to start the season positively, but Köln's summer acquisitions may provide the extra spark needed to tip the scales in their favour.
Prediction
Expect 1. FC Köln to take the lead by halftime and hold on to a narrow 2-1 victory. The match should feature competitive play and a handful of cards, reflecting the intensity of a season opener where both sides are keen to make an early statement.
The verdict
This fixture promises an entertaining start to the Bundesliga season, with 1. FC Köln narrowly prevailing over Werder Bremen. Fans can look forward to a match filled with tactical battles, spirited performances, and a scoreline that keeps everyone on the edge of their seats.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Dallinga
Missed Penalty
Maina
Assist: Skhiri
Dallinga
Castro-Montes
Maina
Füllkrug
Reis
Deman
Yellow Card
Moore
Arthur
Füllkrug
Dinkçi
Regeer
Mensah
Yellow Card
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
Yellow Card
Krauß
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 |  FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Match Statistics
1. FC Köln
4-5-1Starting XI
- 1M. SchwäbeG
- 5T. KraußM
- 6E. SkhiriM
- 14G. MensahD
- 17A. Castro-MontesD
- 22Jahmai Simpson-PuseyD
- 24L. LochoshviliD
- 27T. DallingaF
- 30M. BülterM
- 37L. MainaM
- 47M. MooreM
Substitutes
- 2J. SchmiedD
- 3B. SosaD
- 8Í. Bergmann JóhannessonM
- 9R. AcheF
- 10S. El MalaM
- 20R. ZielerG
- 23Paul Michael Junior Okon-EngstlerM
- 28S. SebulonsenD
- 29J. ThielmannM
Werder Bremen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1K. HeinG
- 2O. DemanD
- 5A. PieperD
- 10N. FüllkrugF
- 13ArthurD
- 15L. ReisM
- 17M. GrüllM
- 18E. DinkçiM
- 20Chuky San JoséM
- 32M. FriedlD
- 44Y. RegeerM
Substitutes
- 3O. WójcikD
- 4N. StarkD
- 23Dariusz StalmachM
- 26C. IttenF
- 29Salim Amani MusahF
- 30A. SchlagerG
- 33Mick SchmetgensD
- 38P. ErevbenagieF
1. FC Köln
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Maina | M | 65 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| E. Skhiri | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Jahmai Simpson-Pusey | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Schwäbe | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Lochoshvili | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ache | F | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| S. Sebulonsen | D | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. El Mala | M | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Krauß | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| M. Bülter | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Castro-Montes | D | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| T. Dallinga | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Moore | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 3/5 |
| Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | M | 25 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| G. Mensah | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Zieler | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Sosa | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Schmied | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Thielmann | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Werder Bremen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hein | G | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Füllkrug | F | 81 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| A. Pieper | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Y. Regeer | M | 83 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| P. Erevbenagie | F | 7 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Deman | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| M. Friedl | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Arthur | D | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Chuky San José | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| C. Itten | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Reis | M | 70 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mick Schmetgens | D | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dariusz Stalmach | M | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Dinkçi | M | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Grüll | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| A. Schlager | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Wójcik | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salim Amani Musah | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Stark | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?
- Fipster's AI model predicted 1. FC Köln to win against Werder Bremen.
- What score did Fipster predict for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?
- Fipster predicted a final score of 1. FC Köln 2–1 Werder Bremen.
- What were the win probabilities for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?
- Fipster's model gave 1. FC Köln a 63% chance of winning, Werder Bremen a 18% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 63% confidence — a medium-confidence call.