1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen
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Challenge a friendThis Bundesliga fixture sees 1. FC Köln face off against Bayer Leverkusen in the ninth round of the regular season. Both sides have had mixed fortunes so far, but the home side looks poised to claim a vital win.
The context
Bayer Leverkusen currently sit 6th in the league with 13 points from 8 games, while 1. FC Köln are 14th with 8 points from 7 matches. Historically, Leverkusen have the upper hand with 10 wins to Köln's 5 in their 20 meetings, and their encounters tend to be goal-rich affairs averaging 2.8 goals per game.
Match factors
Leverkusen's attacking edge through Schick
Patrik Schick's prolific scoring (6 goals in 7 games) gives Leverkusen a clear attacking focal point against Köln's defense.
Miguel Gutiérrez's creative influence
Gutiérrez leads Leverkusen with 3 assists, providing key chances and set-piece delivery, enhancing their goal threat.
Köln's defensive midfield solidity
T. Krauß shows strong defensive stats with high tackles and interceptions, vital to disrupting Leverkusen's attack.
Köln's attack weakened by absences
Multiple Köln attackers confirmed out, reducing their goal threat and increasing reliance on midfielders for scoring.
Analysis
Leverkusen boast a stronger goal difference and have a prolific scorer in Patrik Schick, who has netted 6 times in 7 appearances. However, Köln's defensive midfield, led by T. Krauß, has been effective in breaking up attacks. Despite Leverkusen's attacking edge, Köln's home advantage and tactical discipline suggest they can hold their own and edge the match.
Key insights
Patrik Schick
Bayer Leverkusen
Schick's 6 goals in 7 games make him Leverkusen's main attacking threat, crucial to breaking down Köln's defence.
Bundesliga 26/276 goals in 7 appearances, 0.86 goals/game
Miguel Gutiérrez
Bayer Leverkusen
Gutiérrez's 3 assists in 7 games highlight his creative role, especially with set-pieces, boosting Leverkusen's goal chances.
Bundesliga 26/273 assists in 7 appearances, 0.43 assists/game
- T
T. Krauß
1. FC Köln
Krauß's defensive work with high tackles and interceptions is vital for disrupting Leverkusen's attacks and maintaining Köln's shape.
Bundesliga 26/27Leads team in tackles and interceptions
Prediction
The forecast is for 1. FC Köln to take a 1-0 lead into halftime and ultimately win 2-1. The prediction is supported by a strong probability for a home win and the most likely scoreline aligning with the halftime advantage. Expect a competitive match with around four cards issued.
Key facts
- 1.Bayer Leverkusen lead the head-to-head with 10 wins to 5 for 1. FC Köln in 20 matches.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.8 goals, with Leverkusen scoring 35 and Köln 21 overall.
- 3.Leverkusen are 6th in the league with 13 points from 8 games (W4 D1 L3).
- 4.Köln are 14th with 8 points from 7 games (W2 D2 L3).
- 5.Leverkusen have a superior goal difference of +5 compared to Köln's.
- 6.Patrik Schick is Leverkusen's top scorer with 6 goals in 7 appearances.
- 7.Miguel Gutiérrez leads Leverkusen with 3 assists in 7 games.
- 8.Köln's T. Krauß is a key defensive midfielder with strong tackling and interception stats.
The verdict
In summary, while Bayer Leverkusen have the attacking talent and historical edge, 1. FC Köln's resilience and home form should see them through to a narrow victory. Patrik Schick will be a key threat, but Köln's defensive efforts and timely goals should secure the points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — 1. FC Köln
No standout top scorers flagged for 1. FC Köln
Away — Bayer Leverkusen
Prediction generated 1 Nov 2026, 16:21 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- Fipster's AI model predicts 1. FC Köln to win against Bayer Leverkusen.
- What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- Fipster predicts a final score of 1. FC Köln 2–1 Bayer Leverkusen.
- What are the win probabilities for 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- Fipster's model gives 1. FC Köln a 80% chance of winning, Bayer Leverkusen a 10% chance, and a 10% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 80% confidence — a high-confidence call.