World Cup · 2026-07-01

Mexico’s spot-on shutout steals the show in a mixed bag of predictions

The model nailed Mexico’s 2-0 win over Ecuador with exact score and BTTS calls, got England’s outcome right but missed the exact score and BTTS, and fluffed Belgium-Senegal entirely despite appropriate confidence. A day of highs, lows, and a bit of extra time drama.

Day gradeA-Report card
1Star
1Tick
1Miss
Markets called right6/14

Today’s World Cup Round of 32 action gave our trusty Fipster model a bit of a rollercoaster ride. The highlight? Mexico’s 2-0 victory over Ecuador was predicted with enviable precision — exact score, outcome, BTTS (both teams to score) all spot on, plus the over-under call nailed too. That’s the kind of prediction that makes us want to buy it a celebratory taco.

England’s 2-1 win against Congo DR was a solid tick in the box for the model: it correctly called the match outcome but stumbled on the exact score and BTTS predictions. So close, yet so far — like predicting your mate will turn up but not quite guessing they’d bring their dog along.

Then there was Belgium versus Senegal — a fixture that went all the way to extra time and ended 2-2 before Belgium edged it. Here, our model got outfoxed completely on outcome and exact score despite having an appropriate confidence rating. It did get BTTS right though, so let’s give it some credit for spotting both sides would find the net.

Overall, we saw one STAR performance from Mexico’s prediction, one TICK with England, and one MISS with Belgium-Senegal. The model showed strength in calling outcomes and BTTS when it mattered but wasn’t flawless — especially on exact scores and halftime calls today. Still, an A- day isn’t too shabby when you’re juggling three knockout matches with plenty at stake.

Model record: 1 STAR · 1 TICK · 1 MISS. Day grade: A-.

Model record 1 STAR · 1 TICK · 1 MISSDay gradeA-

Fixtures

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More from this round: World Cup · Round of 32