Allsvenskan · 2026-07-04

Mixed fortunes as Malmo stumps the model and Vasteras delivers a tidy upset

The Fipster model had a day of two halves in Allsvenskan round 11, nailing the outcome and BTTS calls for Vasteras SK FK's surprise win over Halmstad but getting well off track with Malmo FF's narrow victory at Degerfors IF.

Day gradeB+Report card
0Star
1Tick
1Miss
Markets called right3/9

Today's Allsvenskan action served up a curious mix for the Fipster model. The highlight? Vasteras SK FK's 3-1 win away at Halmstad, which earned the model a respectable tick. It correctly predicted the match outcome, that both teams would find the net, and that the total goals would be over the line — not bad for an "underconfident" call. The exact score eluded it, but we'll take those solid hits any day.

On the flip side, Malmo FF’s slender 1-0 victory at Degerfors IF was a bit of a curveball. The model fancied a 2-2 draw instead, missing on every front: outcome, BTTS, over/under, halftime prediction — you name it. Confidence was appropriate, but sometimes even the best get caught out by a stubborn defence or a clinical finish.

So overall, one tick and one miss from two fixtures isn’t too shabby. The model showed it can spot when both teams will score and when games will be high-scoring affairs — just needs to work on those tighter matches where goals are at a premium.

Model record: 0 STAR · 1 TICK · 1 MISS. Day grade: B+.

Model record 0 STAR · 1 TICK · 1 MISSDay gradeB+

Fixtures

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More from this round: Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 11